汇率变动对我国产业结构的影响分析
发布时间：2019-03-11 14:49
【摘要】：虽然我国的GDP已经超越日本成为了世界第二经济大国,但是我国产业结构的合理性仍然存在着很多问题,有待进一步优化。影响产业结构的因素众多,本文主要研究了汇率水平的变动及其波动率对我国产业结构调整的影响。 本文在汇率变动和产业结构调整两者相关文献综述的基础上,从汇率的价格传递效应、汇率通过对外贸易传递以及汇率通过外商直接投资传递这三个路径进行理论分析。并且,本文运用单位根检验、Johansen协整检验以及格兰杰因果检验等方法,研究了汇率的水平变动和波动率对三次产业结构的影响以及制造业结构的影响,对它们之间的关系进行了实证分析。实证结果显示,汇率的水平变动及波动率确实对我国产业结构的调整起到了一定的作用。在本文的最后,还针对文章的分析结果给出了几点建议。
[Abstract]:Although China's GDP has surpassed Japan as the second economic power of the world, the rationality of the industrial structure of our country still has many problems, to be further optimized. The factors that affect the industrial structure are many, this paper mainly studies the change of the exchange rate and the influence of the fluctuation rate on the structure of our country. On the basis of the literature review of the exchange rate and the adjustment of the industrial structure, the paper points out the effect of the exchange rate, the transfer of the exchange rate through the foreign trade and the transfer of the exchange rate through the foreign direct investment. In this paper, by using the method of unit root test, Johansen co-integration test and Granger causality test, this paper studies the effect of the exchange rate and the fluctuation rate on the three industrial structure and the effect of the manufacturing structure, and makes an empirical analysis of the relationship between them. The empirical results show that the change of the exchange rate and the fluctuation rate have played a certain role in the adjustment of the industrial structure of our country. In the end of this paper, some construction is also given for the analysis result of the article
【学位授予单位】：浙江大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F832.6;F121.3;F224
本文编号：2438371
[Abstract]:Although China's GDP has surpassed Japan as the second economic power of the world, the rationality of the industrial structure of our country still has many problems, to be further optimized. The factors that affect the industrial structure are many, this paper mainly studies the change of the exchange rate and the influence of the fluctuation rate on the structure of our country. On the basis of the literature review of the exchange rate and the adjustment of the industrial structure, the paper points out the effect of the exchange rate, the transfer of the exchange rate through the foreign trade and the transfer of the exchange rate through the foreign direct investment. In this paper, by using the method of unit root test, Johansen co-integration test and Granger causality test, this paper studies the effect of the exchange rate and the fluctuation rate on the three industrial structure and the effect of the manufacturing structure, and makes an empirical analysis of the relationship between them. The empirical results show that the change of the exchange rate and the fluctuation rate have played a certain role in the adjustment of the industrial structure of our country. In the end of this paper, some construction is also given for the analysis result of the article
【学位授予单位】：浙江大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F832.6;F121.3;F224
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