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一项关于孟加拉国沿海地区气候难民迁移、脆弱性及适应战略联系的研究

发布时间:2021-06-10 17:45
  近年来,由于气候变化相关的自然灾害,全球预计将有数百万沿海人口无家可归或流离失所,这些人被称为“气候难民”。孟加拉国沿海地区也不例外。这些地区不断受到自然灾害的影响,沿海人民的生活受到影响,迫使他们迁移。在世界最发达地区迁移之间的联系,脆弱性和适应能力在本质上是线性的,但在孟加拉国的沿海地区气候难民迁移之间的联系,脆弱性和适应策略通常是圆形而不是线性的,这是因为大多数时候他们不得不暂时沿着沿海河谷移动。每次移动到新的地方,生存策略都是非常有限和站不住脚的,所以再次受到危险影响的机会增加了。因此,本文的主要目的是探讨不同沿海难民家庭的迁移、脆弱性与适应策略之间的关系。首先,本研究确定了影响气候难民移民决策的重要因素;其次,本研究评估了气候难民集体的脆弱性指数,最后探讨了适应和恢复力的支持策略。但在此之前,本研究试图分析“气候难民”的话语。为了达到研究的目的,本研究采用了定量和定性两种方法。采用定量方法研究了影响迁移决策的因素。此外,该方法还被用于找出气候难民脆弱性的主要构成部分,最后通过该定量方法找出沿海地区的适应支持策略及其可持续性。本研究利用定性数据,试图了解气候难民对沿海地区脆弱局... 

【文章来源】:华中师范大学湖北省 211工程院校 教育部直属院校

【文章页数】:216 页

【学位级别】:博士

【文章目录】:
ABSTRACT
摘要
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
LIST OF ACRONYMS
1 INTRODUCTION
    1.1 Background of the Study
    1.2 Research Questions
    1.3 Research Objectives
    1.4 Research Hypothesis
    1.5 Conceptual Definitions
    1.6 Rationale of the Study
    1.7 Organization of the Thesis
2 LITERATURE REVIEW
    2.1 Tracing the Discourse of 'Climate Refugee' and their Existence under International Approaches
        2.1.1 Discourses of'Climate Refugees':A Genealogy
        2.1.2 Conceptualizing'Refugee' and'Climate Refugee'
        2.1.3 Reasons for which there is an Absence of International Protection for Climate Refugees
        2.1.4 Rationale to have the Right to get the Protection under Refugee Law for Climate Refugees
    2.2 Environment, Climate Change and Migration:ExistingEvidence
        2.2.1 Climate Change and Migration Nexus
        2.2.2 The Focus on Numbers about Climate Refugees
        2.2.3 Multi-Causality of Climate Change Migration
        2.2.4 Theoretical Arguments:Climate Change and Migration
            2.2.4.1 Environmental Factors Affecting Migration Decision
            2.2.4.2 Economic Factors Affecting Migration decision
            2.2.4.3 Social and Political Factors Affecting Migration Decision
        2.2.5 Measurement Instruments
        2.2.6 Environmental Reasons of Displacement in China
    2.3 Climate Change Vulnerability and Adaptation Strategies in the Coastal Regions
        2.3.1 Vulnerability, Adaptation, and Adaptive Capacity as Conceptual Issues
        2.3.2 Climate Change Vulnerabilities in Coastal Areas
        2.3.3 Climate Change Vulnerability in the Coastal Regions of Bangladesh
        2.3.4 The Elements of Vulnerability in Coastal Areas
        2.3.5 Measurement equations for Examining Vulnerability Index of Climate Refugee Communities in the Coastal areas
        2.3.6 Adaptation to Climate Change in Bangladesh
        2.3.7 Priority Adaptation Measures in Bangladesh
        2.3.8 Existing Adaptation Strategies in the Coastal Areas of Bangladesh
        2.3.9 Method of Calculating Sustainability of Climate Change Adaptation
    2.4 Research Framework
3 METHODOLOGY
    3.1 Research Design
    3.2 Research Method
    3.3 Research Area
    3.4 Population of the Study
    3.5 Unit of Analysis
    3.6 Sample Size & Sampling
    3.7 Technique of Data Collection
    3.8 Techniques of Data Processing and Analysis
    3.9 Ethical Issues
4 RESEARCH FINDINGS
    4.1 General Information of Participants of the Study
    4.2 Factors Affecting Migration Decision of Climate Refugees
        4.2.1 Descriptive Statistics
        4.2.2 Reliability Analysis of the Construct
        4.2.3 Factor Analysis
            4.2.3.1 Kaiser Meyer Olkin (KMO) and Bartlett's Test
            4.2.3.2 Measurement Model
            4.2.3.3 Discriminant Validity
            4.2.3.4 Hypothesis Testing
        4.2.4 Perceptions about Migration Decision of Climate Refugees by Region
            4.2.4.1 Respondents Perception about Migration Phenomena
        4.2.5 Specific Factors Affecting Migration Decision by Region
            4.2.5.1 Variability in Precipitation and Temperature Patterns(Environmental)
            4.2.5.2 Migration due to Extreme Events (Environmental)
            4.2.5.3 Migration due to Decreasing Soil Fertility and Food Shortage (Environmental)
            4.2.5.4 Migration due to Exhaustion of Natural Resources (Environmental)
            4.2.5.5 Migration due to Loss of Shelter
            4.2.5.6 Migration due to Low Income (Economic)
            4.2.5.7 Migration due to Unemployment (Economic)
            4.2.5.8 Migration due to Increasing Price (Economic)
            4.2.5.9 Social Factors Responsible for Migration Decision
            4.2.5.10 Migration due to Safety (Political)
    4.3 Measuring Vulnerability Index of Climate Refugee Communities in Different Coastal Regions
        4.3.1 Vulnerability Index (Ⅵ) of Climate Refugee Community at Haridhali Union, Khulna
        4.3.2 Vulnerability Index (Ⅵ) of Climate Refugee Community at Uttar Algi Durgapur Union, Chandpur
        4.3.3 Vulnerability Index (Ⅵ) of Climate Refugee Community at Sreepur Union, Barishal
    4.4 Supporting Strategies of Adaptation and Resilience for Climate Refugees in Different Coastal Areas of Bangladesh
        4.4.1 Categorization of Existing Climate Change Adaptation Strategies
            4.4.1.1 Categorization of Existing Adaptation to Structural Sector in Coastal Areas
            4.4.1.2 Categorization of Existing Adaptation to Livelihood in Different Coastal Areas of Bangladesh
            4.4.1.3 Categorization of Existing Adaptation to Water Sources
        4.4.2 Sustainability of Climate Change Adaptation Practices to Climate Refugees
            4.4.2.1 Sustainability Score of the Respondent's existing Adaptation to Structural Sector in Coastal Areas
            4.4.2.2 Sustainability Score of the Respondent's Livelihood Adaptation in Different Coastal Areas
            4.4.2.3 Sustainability Score of the Respondent's existing Adaptation to Water Sources in Different Coastal Areas
        4.4.3 Further Migration as Final Adaptation Strategy to reduce Vulnerabilities in the Coastal areas
5 DISCUSSIONS
    5.1 Climate Refugee Discourse and Institutional Gap
    5.2 Factors Influencing Migration Decision of Climate Refugee Communities in the Context of Current study
    5.3 Climate Vulnerability and Adaptation Options in the Context of Current study
6 CONCLUSION AND RESEARCH IMPLICATIONS
    6.1 Conclusion
    6.2 Research Implications
        6.2.1 Climate Refugee discourse and Protection Gap
        6.2.2 Enhance Engagement and Support from Government
        6.2.3 Enhance Engagement and Support from the Regional Communities
        6.2.4 Enhance Engagement and Support from the International Communities
        6.2.5 Explore the Village Cluster Model for Potential Application to Climate Refugees
BIBLIOGRAPHY
APPENDIXES
    Appendix 1: Survey Letter
    Appendix 2: Survey Questionnaire
    Appendix 3: Checklist for Case Studies
    Appendix 4: Case Studies
    Appendix 5: Socio Demographic Data Sheet
    Appendix 6: Upazilas and Unions of Study Areas
    Appendix 7: Vulnerability Index Data
    Appendix 8: 摘要



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