机采棉推广背景下新疆兵团采棉用工需求动态研究

发布时间：2017-12-28 19:29

本文关键词：机采棉推广背景下新疆兵团采棉用工需求动态研究　出处：《新疆农业大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：棉花是新疆生产建设兵团(以下简称兵团)和地方经济发展的重要支柱。大力推广机采棉技术是确保兵团棉花产业持续高速发展的迫切需要,是解决采棉用工紧缺问题、降低劳动成本、解放劳动生产力、提高棉农生产效率、扩大规模经营、加速实现兵团棉花集约化生产和现代化经营的必由之路,是兵团棉花生产的发展方向。随着棉花种植规模的不断扩大和机采棉技术的不断推广,进疆采棉的采棉工队伍日趋缩小。季节性外来务工人口流动量及流动方向结构酝酿着巨变,带动客流、物流线路的调整,更对城乡社会活动产生深远的影响。机采棉技术推行速率及其稳定性还存在不确定性,进而影响兵团采棉工的需求量,由此带来人口流动、社会管理等的不确定性,迫切要求我们对兵团棉花采收期间的劳动力用工问题进行前瞻性的考虑和估算。棉花采摘期,南北疆各师、团、连面临的外来采棉工的引进、组织和管理问题又不尽相同,给整个兵团棉花产业的综合发展、管理带来很大的困难。基于此,本文分析了机采棉技术推广政策、植棉户对机采方式的认同程度、植棉户植棉规模和机采意愿、棉花采收成本、机采棉品质、棉花机采相关设备的配备情况等影响兵团棉花机采逐步替代手采的主要因素。通过对兵团5个团场55家植棉户110位采棉工和兵团各相关职能部门的调查访问,在分析兵团近年来机采棉技术推广和采棉用工需求数量变化趋势的基础上,运用灰色预测模型法对近中期兵团采棉用工的需求量做出预测,得出未来5-10年兵团所需采棉工数量的动态变化趋势。进一步分析兵团各师采棉工转移的空间分布特征及其对新疆经济、社会、生活等方面的影响,提出合理组织、引进、管理采棉工的分区域差异化政策建议。
[Abstract]:Cotton is the Xinjiang production and Construction Corps (hereinafter referred to as the Corps) and the important pillar of local economic development. Vigorously promote the cotton picker technology is the urgent need to ensure sustained and rapid development of BINGTUAN Cotton industry, cotton is to solve the labor shortage problem, reduce labor costs, improve labor productivity, the liberation of cotton production efficiency, the only way which must be passed to expand the scale of operations, accelerate the realization of intensive corps cotton production and management modernization, is the direction of development of BINGTUAN Cotton production. With the continuous expansion of the scale of cotton planting and the continuous popularization of the technology of cotton production, the ranks of cotton picking workers in Xinjiang are shrinking. Seasonal migrant workers flow volume and flow direction structure are brewing great changes, driving the adjustment of passenger flow and logistics lines, and have a far-reaching impact on urban and rural social activities. The implementation rate and stability of cotton technology is still uncertain machine mining, thereby affecting the demand of BINGTUAN Cotton workers, resulting in the flow of population, social management and other uncertainties, we urgently need to harvest labor corps cotton during the problem to consider and estimate the forward-looking. During the cotton picking period, the introduction, organization and management of foreign cotton pickers in different divisions in North and South China are different. They bring great difficulties to the comprehensive development and management of the cotton industry in the whole Corps. Based on this, this paper analyzes the cotton picker technology promotion policy, cotton farmers of machine pick the degree of identity, cotton farmers planting scale and machine production will, cotton recovery cost, the quality of cotton, cotton picker machine production related equipment with impact corps cotton machine mining gradually replace hand picking the main factors. Access through a survey of 5 farms of 55 cotton farmers 110 cotton workers and the Corps of the relevant functional departments, based on the analysis of the Corps in recent years cotton technology promotion and cotton picking labor demand quantity change trend, the recent mid-term corps cotton demand for workers is predicted by using grey prediction model the method of dynamic change trend of the next 5-10 years the Corps required cotton workers number. We further analyze the spatial distribution characteristics of the cotton picking workers in the corps and their impacts on Xinjiang's economy, society and life, and put forward the policy of regional differentiation for organizing and importing and managing cotton pickup workers reasonably.
【学位授予单位】：新疆农业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F323.3;F326.12

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