战时物资供应系统建模与优化方法研究

发布时间：2017-12-30 17:35

本文关键词：战时物资供应系统建模与优化方法研究　出处：《大连理工大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：现代战争理论中,战时物资供应水平对胜败有着关键性影响,也是敌方重点袭扰的对象,战时物资供应系统必须做到精准、高效、敏捷和可靠。战时物资供应系统是典型的复杂系统,精确和智能是其改革和前进的方向。本文针对物资供应系统优化涉及的物流中心能力与风险评估、物流中心资源配备优化、供应系统智能仿真和供应系统补给过程决策优化等问题,采用性能评估、模型优化与动态仿真的技术进行研究。首先,本文综述战时物资供应系统相关研究进展,指出基于战时物流中心构建供应系统的优越性,提出基于QPN与MAS的技术路线；通过分析QPN与MAS特性,分析基于QPN建模物流中心及基于MAS仿真供应系统的可行性。然后,通过分析物流中心服务过程、不确定性和安全性,形式化定义基于QPN的能力与风险扩展模型,利用分层建模方法,构建具体模型,并提出基于具体模型的仿真求解方法。随后,本文详解物资供应系统组成与复杂性,基于物流中心QPN模型,提出系统MAS模型；针对交通与环境问题特殊处理,提高准确性和处理便捷性；针对补给任务自动分配和物流中心长期供应策略两个方面提出补给过程决策优化算法。本文从两个层次开展验证实验,首先利用现有仿真工具对物流中心QPN模型进行正确性验证和仿真,得出资源配备优化和能力风险决策方法,其次自定义设计实现供应系统MAS仿真系统,验证了基于QPN与MAS研究战时供应系统的技术路线可行性和模型正确性,为后续研究提供可靠分析工具,具有重要军事意义和广泛应用空间。
[Abstract]:In the modern war theory, the wartime material supply level has the key influence to the victory and defeat, is also the enemy key attack object, wartime material supply system must achieve the precision, the high efficiency. Agile and reliable. Wartime material supply system is a typical complex system, accuracy and intelligence is the direction of its reform and advance. This paper aims at the logistics center capability and risk assessment involved in material supply system optimization. Logistics center resource allocation optimization, supply system intelligent simulation and supply system supply process decision-making optimization, using performance evaluation, model optimization and dynamic simulation technology to study. This paper summarizes the research progress of wartime material supply system, points out the superiority of constructing supply system based on wartime logistics center, and puts forward the technical route based on QPN and MAS. By analyzing the characteristics of QPN and MAS, the feasibility of modeling logistics center based on QPN and simulating supply system based on MAS is analyzed. Then, the service process, uncertainty and security of logistics center are analyzed. Formalize the capability and risk extension model based on QPN, construct the specific model by using hierarchical modeling method, and propose a simulation solution method based on specific model. In this paper, the composition and complexity of the material supply system are explained in detail. Based on the QPN model of the logistics center, the MAS model of the system is put forward. To improve the accuracy and convenience of dealing with traffic and environmental problems; This paper presents an optimal algorithm for the decision-making of supply process from two aspects: automatic allocation of supply tasks and long-term supply strategy of logistics center. This paper carries out verification experiments from two levels. Firstly, we use the existing simulation tools to verify and simulate the QPN model of logistics center, and obtain the method of resource allocation optimization and capability risk decision. Secondly, we design and implement the MAS simulation system of supply system. The feasibility and correctness of the technical route and model of the wartime supply system based on QPN and MAS are verified. It provides a reliable analysis tool for the subsequent research and has important military significance and wide application space.
【学位授予单位】：大连理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：TP391.9;E144

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