中国流通业的经济增长效应分析:理论与实证

发布时间：2018-03-19 14:44

本文选题：流通效率　切入点：商流中间商　出处：《宏观质量研究》2017年01期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：随着中国经济市场化程度的逐渐深入,流通业在宏观经济运行中的地位日益重要。文章试图从流通业在经济增长中提供的流通效率入手,构建流通业与经济增长的基准模型,在此基础上得到其拓展模型,分析物流中间商与商流中间商产生的原因,及其在经济增长中的作用。研究发现,流通效率的不断提高推动了经济增长中专业化分工的不断演进,促进了物流中间商和商流中间商之间的合理分工,使得商品流通能够以较低的成本进行,提高了商品对消费者的有用性,同时也使得生产者的利益得到保证,从而促进国民经济其他部门的产出增加,促进经济增长。利用1985—2013的省际面板数据实证分析表明,就整体而言,商业对经济增长的正向影响非常显著,而物流业对经济增长的正向影响不显著,这说明物流业发展水平有限,其对经济增长的促进作用尚未完全体现出来。就地区差异而言,分别检验东部、中部、西部三大地区流通业的经济增长效应发现,东部地区商业对经济增长的正向影响最大,中西部地区次之。物流业则在三大地区都没有发挥促进经济增长的作用。相应政策含义是要发挥流通业促进经济增长的作用,必须协调好商业与物流业之间的合理分工,以此提高流通效率。
[Abstract]:With the deepening of China's economic marketization, the circulation industry is playing an increasingly important role in the macro-economic operation. This paper attempts to build a benchmark model of circulation and economic growth from the perspective of circulation efficiency provided by circulation industry in economic growth. On the basis of this, the paper obtains its expanding model, analyzes the reason of the logistics middleman and the commercial flow middleman, and its role in the economic growth. The study finds that the continuous improvement of circulation efficiency promotes the continuous evolution of specialization division in economic growth. It promotes the rational division of labor between logistics middlemen and commercial middlemen, enables commodity circulation to be carried out at lower cost, improves the usefulness of commodities to consumers, and at the same time ensures the interests of producers. Using the data from the provincial panel from 1985 to 2013, the empirical analysis shows that, on the whole, the positive impact of business on economic growth is very significant. However, the positive impact of logistics on economic growth is not significant, which indicates that the level of logistics development is limited, and its role in promoting economic growth has not been fully reflected. As far as regional differences are concerned, the eastern and central regions are tested separately. The economic growth effect of circulation industry in the three major western regions shows that business in the eastern region has the greatest positive impact on economic growth. The logistics industry has not played a role in promoting economic growth in the three major regions. The corresponding policy implication is that in order to play the role of circulation industry in promoting economic growth, it is necessary to coordinate the rational division of labor between commerce and logistics industry. In order to improve the efficiency of circulation.
【作者单位】：中南财经政法大学经济学院;西北大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金青年项目(14CJL008);国家社科基金青年项目(13CJL044)的资助
【分类号】：F724

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