湖北国储武汉分公司冷库建设的可行性分析

发布时间：2018-03-27 06:11

本文选题：冷链物流　切入点：市场分析　出处：《北京交通大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：近年来,随着我国经济稳定发展,人民的生活质量得到了明显提高,由此带来社会对于低温冷冻食品的需求也越来越大。同时,食品安全的问题也变得越来越突出。大力发展冷链物流,能有效地减少食品从生产到消费整个过程中所产生的巨大浪费,也有利于保障食品的质量安全。十二五以来,湖北省的农副产品冷链物流稳步发展,但相较于巨大的市场需求,还有很大缺口。湖北国储物流公司长期从事仓储物流服务,近年来公司也业绩保持稳定发展态势,但增长逐渐减缓,陷入增长的瓶颈期。公司在了解社会行情的基础上,为了抓住冷链物流的发展机遇,湖北国储物流公司拟以旧仓改造的方式在武汉分公司投资改造一座冷库,开展农副产品冷链物流。计划以配送基地的形式,为农副产品的生产企业和销售企业提供仓储、流通初加工、配送等服务。公司希望通过此次开展冷链物流试点,调整生产结构,转变经营方式,开辟新的利润增长点,同时,带动其他分公司的业务转型,保持公司经营状况持续健康稳定发展。然而,投资改造冷库在技术上是否可行,能否为公司带来稳定的经济收益,在经济上是否可行,缺少足够的论证。因此,需要从技术经济分析的角度,进行分析论证。技术经济可行性分析是指在工程项目或设计方案投资决策过程中,采用现代分析方法对项目方案在计算期,包括建设期和生产期内的经济效果所做的测算与分析,为项目方案投资决策的提供重要依据。本文首先根据实际论述了湖北国储开展冷链业务的实施背景和意义,研究了相关冷链物流文献;其次介绍了本文的基本理论和研究方法;然后,分析了武汉分公司冷库项目的市场环境;之后,通过对湖北省武汉市肉类、果蔬等农副产品市场调查,运用指数平滑法预测农副产品冷链物流需求规模,并根据市场需求,提出湖北国储物流公司开展农副产品冷链物流的品种选择和冷库类型选择,并对冷库的建设方案进行了设计;运用财务分析方法,论述了湖北国储武汉分公司冷库建设的可行性;最后,从冷链物流实施的角度,提出武汉分公司冷链物流的实施建议。本文通过研究表明:湖北冷链物流市场前景广阔,需求量大,湖北国储发展农副产品冷链物流可选择建设以蔬菜、水果为主要品种的气调型保鲜库,通过财务分析论证,其在经济上是可行的,其税前投资回收期为5.83年,经济效益显著。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the steady development of China's economy, the quality of life of the people has been significantly improved, which has led to a growing social demand for cryogenic frozen food. At the same time, The problem of food safety has also become more and more prominent. Vigorously developing cold chain logistics can effectively reduce the huge waste caused by the whole process of food production to consumption, and is also conducive to ensuring the quality and safety of food. Since the 12th Five-Year Plan, The cold chain logistics of agricultural and sideline products in Hubei Province has developed steadily, but there is still a big gap compared with the huge market demand. Hubei National Reserve Logistics Company has been engaged in warehousing logistics services for a long time, and in recent years, the company's performance has maintained a steady development trend. However, the growth gradually slowed down and fell into the bottleneck of growth. In order to seize the development opportunities of cold chain logistics, the Hubei National Reserve Logistics Company plans to invest in the transformation of a cold store in Wuhan Branch in the form of an old warehouse transformation on the basis of understanding the social market. Develop cold chain logistics of agricultural and sideline products. Plan to provide storage, initial processing, distribution and other services to agricultural and sideline products production and sales enterprises in the form of distribution bases. The company hopes to launch a cold chain logistics pilot through this time. Adjust the production structure, change the mode of operation, open up new profit growth point, at the same time, drive the business transformation of other branch companies, keep the company's operating condition continue to develop healthily and stably. However, whether it is technically feasible to invest in the transformation of cold storage, There is a lack of sufficient proof of whether it is economically feasible to bring stable economic benefits to the company. Therefore, from the perspective of technical and economic analysis, Technical and economic feasibility analysis means that in the process of investment decision of project or design project, modern analysis method is used to calculate the project plan in the calculation period. It includes the calculation and analysis of economic effect in the construction period and the production period, which provides an important basis for the investment decision of the project scheme. Firstly, this paper discusses the background and significance of the cold chain business carried out by Hubei National Reserve according to the actual situation. Secondly, the basic theory and research methods of this paper are introduced. Then, the market environment of the cold storage project of Wuhan Branch is analyzed. According to the market demand for cold chain logistics of agricultural and sideline products, the variety selection and cold storage type selection of cold chain logistics for agricultural and sideline products by Hubei National Storage Logistics Company are put forward, according to the market demand, the index smoothing method is used to predict the demand scale of cold chain logistics for agricultural and sideline products. The construction scheme of cold storage is designed, and the feasibility of cold storage construction of Hubei GuozhouWuhan Branch is discussed by means of financial analysis. Finally, from the perspective of cold chain logistics implementation, This paper puts forward some suggestions for the implementation of cold chain logistics in Wuhan Branch. The research shows that Hubei cold chain logistics has a broad market prospect and a large demand. The development of cold chain logistics by agricultural and sideline products of Hubei National Reserve can choose to build vegetables. Based on the financial analysis, it is proved that the controlled atmosphere storage of fruits is feasible in economy, and its payback period before tax is 5.83 years, and the economic benefit is remarkable.
【学位授予单位】：北京交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F326.6

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