“一带一路”背景下云南省区域物流发展研究

发布时间：2018-04-17 22:22

本文选题：区域物流 + 系统动力学　；参考：《云南财经大学》2016年硕士论文

【摘要】：近年来,中国-东盟自贸区的发展、“一带一路”以及长江经济带等重大国家战略的实施,为云南省经济实现跨越式发展提供了新的契机和动力。伴随着经济快速发展的同时,云南省物流产业也得到了显著发展,这必然带来云南省物流需求量的不断提升、物流需求形式的多样化。为了切实保障云南省贸易间货物得到快速、高效的运转,更好的发挥物流对经济增长的促进作用,有必要从深层次去研究当前云南省区域物流的发展,了解其中的作用机理,才能正确的做出云南省区域物流系统规划的指导意见,促进区域物流与经济的协调发展。因此,本文利用系统动力学方法对云南省物流业发展的运行规则、作用机理及其影响因素进行的研究。首先,总结了国内外区域物流的发展态势与研究动态,在此基础上,分析云南省物流业发展现状,指出当前云南省物流业发展存在的基本问题;其次,分析系统内部要素之间的作用机理,构建了云南省区域物流产业系统动力学模型及其子模型-区域经济发展、物流积压以及区域物流产业资本三个子模型;再者,利用VENSIM软件对模型的有效性与实用性进行检验;最终借助VENSIM软件对云南省2010-2025年区域物流产业进行实证分析。本文尝试着运用系统动力学的理论和方法,分析研究云南省区域物流内部的动力机制,在此基础上,建立云南省区域物流产业系统动力学模型,模拟仿真区域物流未来的发展趋势;利用系统动力学模型的“战略与策略实验室”功能,通过四种假设政策方案分析,模拟不同影响因素对云南省物流业以及经济的促进作用,根据模拟结果,有针对性的提出云南省物流业发展的对策建议,增强云南省区域竞争力,优化资源配置,为打造云南省面向东南亚、南亚“一带一路”的桥梁枢纽提供理论支撑和政策指导。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the development of China-ASEAN Free Trade area, the implementation of "Belt and Road" and the implementation of major national strategies such as the Yangtze River Economic Belt, have provided a new opportunity and motive force for Yunnan Province to realize leapfrog economic development.Along with the rapid development of economy, the logistics industry of Yunnan Province has also been significantly developed, which will inevitably lead to the continuous upgrading of logistics demand in Yunnan Province, and the diversification of logistics demand forms.In order to ensure the fast and efficient operation of goods between trade in Yunnan Province, and to give full play to the role of logistics in promoting economic growth, it is necessary to study the current development of regional logistics in Yunnan Province and understand its mechanism from a deep level.In order to correctly make Yunnan Province regional logistics system planning guidance to promote the coordinated development of regional logistics and economy.Therefore, the system dynamics method is used to study the operating rules, mechanism and influencing factors of the logistics industry in Yunnan province.Firstly, this paper summarizes the development situation and research trends of regional logistics at home and abroad, then analyzes the current situation of logistics industry in Yunnan Province, and points out the basic problems existing in the development of logistics industry in Yunnan Province.Based on the analysis of the mechanism among the internal elements of the system, this paper constructs the system dynamics model and its sub-model of regional logistics industry in Yunnan Province-regional economic development, logistics backlog and regional logistics industry capital.The validity and practicability of the model are tested by using VENSIM software, and the regional logistics industry of Yunnan Province from 2010-2025 to 2025 is analyzed empirically with the help of VENSIM software.This paper tries to use the theory and method of system dynamics to analyze and study the dynamic mechanism of regional logistics in Yunnan Province. On this basis, the system dynamics model of regional logistics industry in Yunnan Province is established.Using the function of "strategy and strategy laboratory" of system dynamics model, this paper simulates the promotion effect of different factors on logistics industry and economy of Yunnan province through the analysis of four hypothetical policies and schemes, and simulates the development trend of regional logistics in the future, and uses the function of "strategy and strategy laboratory" of system dynamics model.According to the simulation results, the countermeasures and suggestions for the development of the logistics industry in Yunnan Province are put forward, the regional competitiveness of Yunnan Province is enhanced, and the allocation of resources is optimized, in order to make Yunnan Province face Southeast Asia,The bridge hub of Belt and Road in South Asia provides theoretical support and policy guidance.
【学位授予单位】：云南财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F259.27

【相似文献】