宁波—舟山港集装箱内陆集疏运网络优化研究

发布时间：2018-05-03 07:27

本文选题：宁波-舟山港 + 吞吐量　；参考：《浙江海洋大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：伴随着区域经济格局的变化以及国内各大港口竞争的加剧,沿海港口物流服务正逐步向纵深的内地渗透,这离不开港口与内陆相互联系的内陆集疏运网络。文章先是研究了国内外港口集疏运系统的理论研究以及相关的优化方法,在此基础上对港口集疏运的概念进行了梳理,并对其进行了一定层次的划分,然后详细阐释了目前宁波-舟山港集装箱内陆集疏运网络的现状并指出其发展存在的主要问题,即宁波-舟山港集装箱内陆集疏运网络线网布局方面存在的不足。为了更好地指出集装箱集疏运网络优化的必要性,本文采用灰色预测法和指数平滑法对宁波-舟山港未来十年的集装箱吞吐量进行预测,再使用将这两种方法相结合的组合预测法对两种预测方法的结果进行组合,预测结果显示宁波-舟山港未来十年集装箱吞吐量会急剧增长,从定量的角度说明了宁波-舟山港集装箱内陆集疏运网络现今面临的巨大压力,侧面反映了对于宁波-舟山港集装箱内陆集疏运网络优化的必要性。为了研究宁波-舟山港集装箱内陆集疏运网络中存在的线网布局不合理的问题,本文通过建立内陆集疏运网络最小费用模型,将义乌、合肥、鹰潭作为实例研究对象,根据模型求解结果得到各集疏运线网所占流量比例情况,并参照结果提出两种猜想,并对两种猜想进行一一验证。然后通过分析,找出了宁波-舟山港集装箱内陆集疏运网络不合理的原因。最后,针对宁波-舟山港集装箱内陆集疏运网络的定性、定量优化提出了一些措施及建议。
[Abstract]:With the change of the regional economic pattern and the aggravation of the domestic port competition, the logistics service of the coastal port is gradually infiltrating into the deep inland, which can not be separated from the inland transportation network which is connected with the port and the inland. At first, the paper studies the theory of port transportation system at home and abroad and the related optimization methods, then combs the concept of port transportation, and classifies it at a certain level. Then it explains the present situation of Ningbo-Zhoushan container transportation network in detail and points out the main problems in its development, that is, the deficiency in the layout of Ningbo-Zhoushan container inland transportation network network. In order to better point out the necessity of container transportation network optimization, this paper uses grey forecasting method and exponential smoothing method to predict the container throughput of Ningbo Zhoushan Port in the next ten years. Then the combined forecasting method is used to combine the results of the two forecasting methods. The prediction results show that the container throughput of Ningbo-Zhoushan Port will increase sharply in the next ten years. From a quantitative point of view, this paper explains the great pressure that Ningbo-Zhoushan container inland transportation network is facing now, and reflects the necessity of optimizing the inland container transportation network of Ningbo-Zhoushan port. In order to study the unreasonable layout of the network in Ningbo Zhoushan Port container transportation network, this paper takes Yiwu, Hefei and Yingtan as examples by establishing the minimum cost model of inland container transportation network. According to the solution result of the model, the flow ratio of each network is obtained, and two conjectures are put forward according to the results, and the two conjectures are verified one by one. Then through the analysis, we find out the unreasonable reasons of the container transportation network in Ningbo-Zhoushan Port. Finally, some measures and suggestions are put forward for the qualitative and quantitative optimization of the container transportation network in Ningbo-Zhoushan Port.
【学位授予单位】：浙江海洋大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F552.7

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