物流业与金融业协同演化机制及路径优化研究

发布时间：2018-05-14 09:37

  本文选题：物流能力 + 金融绩效　； 参考：《商业研究》2017年08期

【摘要】：物流与金融的整合创新,构建风险共治、利益共赢的物流-金融复合系统,是物流业进一步发展提升的有效途径。本文选取我国31省市2004-2014年物流业与金融业宏观数据,运用熵权法分别衡量区域物流能力和金融绩效水平,基于哈肯模型构建物流-金融复合系统分析物流金融协同发展路径和演变规律。研究发现,物流能力在复合系统演变过程中起主导作用;物流业的发展对金融业有正反馈效应,而金融市场对物流业发展未起到充分的支持作用;我国物流-金融协同水平整体已进入"协作级"阶段,物流能力、金融绩效和协同水平均呈东-中-西三级阶梯式递减趋势。据此,目标协同、发展耦合、风险共担、信息共享和政策引导是物流业与金融业协同发展的有效措施。
[Abstract]:The integration and innovation of logistics and finance, the construction of a win-win logistics and financial complex system is an effective way for the further development and promotion of logistics industry. Based on the macro data of logistics industry and financial industry in 31 provinces and cities of China from 2004 to 2014, the paper uses entropy weight method to measure the regional logistics capability and financial performance level respectively. Based on Hacken model, the logistics-finance complex system is constructed to analyze the development path and evolution law of logistics and finance cooperation. It is found that the logistics capability plays a leading role in the evolution of the complex system, and the development of the logistics industry has positive feedback effect on the financial industry, while the financial market does not play a sufficient supporting role in the development of the logistics industry. The cooperation level of logistics and finance in our country has entered the stage of "cooperation level", and the logistics ability, financial performance and coordination level are all in the descending trend of three levels of east, middle and west. Therefore, goal coordination, development coupling, risk sharing, information sharing and policy guidance are effective measures for the coordinated development of logistics industry and financial industry.
【作者单位】： 江南大学商学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目“小样本非等距灰色预测模型建模及其应用研究”,项目编号:71301061 中央高校专项项目,项目编号:2015JDZD11
【分类号】：F259.2;F832
，

本文编号：1887329