基于DEA与系统动力学的项目效率评价方法

发布时间：2018-01-29 12:19

本文关键词： DEA SD 项目效率技术创新项目大科学工程　出处：《电子科技大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：大科学工程的建设不仅是我国综合国力日益提高的体现,也对我国科学研究技术的进步和发展起到极大的促进作用,具有广泛的社会影响意义。对于国家的科学工程而言,提高项目管理水平是十分有必要的。而对于我国企业的科研项目而言,企业技术创新能力与发达国家还有明显差距。因此,对我国大科学工程与企业的技术创新项目效率评价的研究显得尤为重要。本研究分别针对国家科学工程与企业技术创新项目,基于系统化创新理论TRIZ对科研院所与科技型企业的技术创新管理模式进行分析。针对企业技术创新项目,结合TRIZ理论与DEA,从流程管理的视角综合系统、子系统以及超系统的要求构建评价指标并给出主观赋权与客观赋权集成的评价方法,从而精简提炼评价信息,建立四象限决策图,实现效率评价与指标权重的优化。针对国家科学工程建设项目,综合考虑项目进度与成本等绩效指标,提出国防建设项目效率评价方法。首先分析项目层与产品层的效能指标,然后构建项目管理绩效、科研能力和可靠性等七项指标的两层次系统动力学仿真模型,并基于DEA进行项目效率的评价。分别科技型、高端装备制造业、纺织业的三家主导型企业以及大科学工程建设项目为例,评价项目效率,验证项目效率动态建模思路与方法的正确性,用这两种方法进行评价分析和决策,并对这两种方法进行总结。本研究提出的项目效率的建模与评价方法,包含了多种项目效率的关键影响因素,为所建立的数据包络分析模型的不可测变量提供仿真值,有效解决项目效率评价模型中不可测变量的量化难题。同时,通过对这两种项目效率进行评价,对项目管理能力的提升具有实际指导意义和借鉴作用。
[Abstract]:The construction of large science engineering is not only the embodiment of our country's comprehensive national strength increasing day by day, but also plays a great role in promoting the progress and development of scientific research and technology in our country. It is very necessary to improve the level of project management for the national scientific engineering, but for the scientific research projects of Chinese enterprises, it is necessary to improve the level of project management. There is still a clear gap between the technological innovation ability of enterprises and developed countries. It is particularly important to study the efficiency evaluation of large science engineering and enterprise technology innovation projects in China. This study is aimed at national science engineering and enterprise technology innovation projects. Based on systematic innovation theory (TRIZ), this paper analyzes the management mode of technological innovation in scientific research institutes and science and technology enterprises, and combines TRIZ theory with DEA for enterprise technology innovation projects. The evaluation index is constructed from the perspective of process management, subsystem and super system, and the evaluation method of integrating subjective and objective weights is given, so that the evaluation information can be refined and the four-quadrant decision diagram can be established. To achieve efficiency evaluation and index weight optimization. For national scientific engineering projects, comprehensive consideration of project progress and cost performance indicators. The efficiency evaluation method of national defense construction project is put forward. Firstly, the efficiency index of project layer and product layer is analyzed, then the two-level system dynamics simulation model of seven indexes, such as project management performance, scientific research ability and reliability, is constructed. And based on DEA to evaluate the project efficiency. Respectively high-tech high-end equipment manufacturing textile industry of the three leading enterprises and large scientific engineering construction projects as an example to evaluate the efficiency of the project. Verify the correctness of project efficiency dynamic modeling ideas and methods, use these two methods to evaluate analysis and decision-making, and summarize the two methods. This study proposed the project efficiency modeling and evaluation method. It contains a variety of key factors of project efficiency, provides the simulation value for the unmeasurable variables of the established data envelopment analysis model, and effectively solves the quantification problem of unmeasurable variables in the evaluation model of project efficiency. At the same time. Through the evaluation of the efficiency of these two projects, it has practical guiding significance and reference function to the improvement of project management ability.
【学位授予单位】：电子科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：N941.3;F273.1

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