德阳五洲广场分布式能源项目可行性分析

发布时间：2018-02-26 22:01

本文关键词： 分布式能源项目可行性风险管理　出处：《西南交通大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：鉴于市场条件下的不确定因素变动对项目经济性的影响,必须针对创新型项目构建一个适应市场快速变化的项目评估决策体系。为此,本文以德阳市五洲广场分布式供能系统这一新型能源供应系统为例,根据项目可行性研究程序,建立项目可行性研究的框架,在此框架下对发展分布式能源的必要性、项目技术可行性、经济合理性、项目环保性、项目运行模式、项目风险分析、项目风险管理等方面进行了可行性分析研究。本文应用项目管理专业相关的理论,结合德阳五洲广场天然气分布式能源项目建设的整体规划,分析预测了该项目总体能耗需求,根据能耗需求量提出了项目系统配置方案,项目总体供能计划。针对项目在运行过程中可能对环境造成的影响,提出了相应的计划防治措施。通过以上内容的研究,对比选择出最佳的项目投资方案,用以指导该项目的管理实践。最后,本文对德阳五洲广场分布式能源项目实施过程中可能出现的各种风险进行了分析,提出了项目实施在政策、资源、技术、运营等方面的风险管理控制计划,并制定了相应的风险应对措施,实现了能源高效利用,取得显著的经济效益,本文的研究成果可为该项目今后具体实施提供基本分析框架和依据。
[Abstract]:In view of the impact of uncertainty on the economy of the project under market conditions, it is necessary to construct a project evaluation decision-making system adapted to the rapid changes in the market for innovative projects. Taking the distributed energy supply system of Wuzhou Square in Deyang City as an example, according to the program of project feasibility study, the framework of project feasibility study is established, and the necessity of developing distributed energy under this framework is discussed. Feasibility analysis of project feasibility, economic rationality, project environmental protection, project operation mode, project risk analysis, project risk management, etc. Combined with the overall plan of the natural gas distributed energy project construction in Deyang Wuzhou Square, the overall energy consumption demand of the project is analyzed and forecasted, and the project system configuration scheme is put forward according to the energy consumption demand. The overall energy supply plan of the project. In view of the possible impact of the project on the environment in the course of operation, the corresponding preventive and control measures are put forward. Through the study of the above contents, the best project investment scheme is selected. Finally, this paper analyzes the various risks that may occur in the implementation of the distributed energy project in Deyang Wuzhou Square, and puts forward the policy, resources and technology for the implementation of the project. The risk management and control plan in operation and other aspects, and the corresponding risk response measures have been drawn up to realize the efficient use of energy and achieve remarkable economic benefits. The research results of this paper can provide the basic analysis framework and basis for the implementation of the project in the future.
【学位授予单位】：西南交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：TU83

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