Z高校新校区基建项目风险管理研究

发布时间：2018-04-01 11:11

本文选题：基建项目　切入点：层次分析法　出处：《吉林大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：高校基建项目除了具有一般建设项目的特性之外,还存在涉及面广、综合性强、建设过程中存在不可预见的因素多等特点,因此任何风险都有可能会影响它的顺利开展。虽然风险管理在我国已经存在了20年,但是与国外相比我国还处于初级阶段,在国内的运用也仅限于建筑业极少数领域,针对高校新校区基建项目的风险管理研究则更加少见。自改革开放以来,由于经济条件的不断改善,使得人们在满足自身基本需求的基础上,希望可以受到更高的教育。同时我国学校近年来不断扩招,高校也为了扩大规模开始建设新校区,但由于新校区基建项目的特殊状况,它不仅要求保证项目质量安全而且还需要兼顾施工进度。此外现在人们较少关注此类项目,而且没有成熟的技术支撑。基于以上原因,此类项目的风险系数远大于一般项目。因此,将风险管理理论与高校新校区基建项目相结合,不仅可以有效保证建设项目的顺利进行,而且能够促进我国高等教育事业向更辉煌的阶段进发。综上,本文通过对Z高校新校区基建项目进行了探讨,引入理论对其风险进行分析。首先,本文叙述了项目风险管理的近况及问题,通过学习项目风险管理部分理论知识以及与该理论相呼应的项目生命周期理论,在此基础上详细论述了高校新校区基建项目的所具有的特点、可能导致风险的因素、现阶段存在的普遍问题等内容;其次,本文将理论结合到Z高校新校区基建项目中,先表述了Z高校的实际状况,立足于基建项目生命周期理论,对每个阶段的可能存在的风险皆做了不同程度的分析。最后,本文从所有分析方法中选择了层次分析法(AHP),运用其特殊的两两比较的方式对实际项目风险进行了系统性识别及分析,并根据所得出的结果梳理了有效的应对措施。本文不仅从风险项目的四大层次逐个分析了Z高校新校区基建项目,而且通过层次分析法与生命周期理论相结合的形式为风险项目研究做到了内容的补充。所以本文不但能够为高校基建项目风险管理发展起到抛砖引玉的作用,还可丰富风险管理的研究文献,推广风险管理在工程项目中的应用,为其他高校基建项目管理提供有价值的参考。
[Abstract]:In addition to the characteristics of general construction projects, capital construction projects in colleges and universities also have the characteristics of wide coverage, strong comprehensiveness, and many unforeseen factors in the construction process. Therefore, any risk may affect its smooth development. Although risk management has existed in China for 20 years, compared with foreign countries, our country is still in its infancy, and its application in China is limited to a few fields in the construction industry. Since the reform and opening up, because of the continuous improvement of economic conditions, people are meeting their basic needs on the basis of. I hope to receive higher education. At the same time, Chinese schools have been expanding their enrollment in recent years, and colleges and universities have begun to build new campuses in order to expand their scale. However, due to the special conditions of the new campus infrastructure projects, It requires not only the quality and safety of the project, but also the progress of the construction. In addition, there is less attention to such projects nowadays, and there is no mature technical support. The risk coefficient of this kind of project is much higher than that of the general project. Therefore, combining the risk management theory with the new campus capital construction project in colleges and universities can not only ensure the smooth progress of the construction project, And it can promote the development of higher education in our country to a more brilliant stage. In summary, this paper discusses the new campus infrastructure project of Z university, and introduces the theory to analyze its risk. This paper describes the recent situation and problems of project risk management. By studying some theoretical knowledge of project risk management and the theory of project life cycle echoing the theory, On this basis, the paper discusses in detail the characteristics of the new campus infrastructure project, the possible risk factors, the common problems existing at the present stage, and so on. Secondly, this paper combines the theory into the new campus infrastructure project of Z university. This paper first describes the actual situation of Z university, based on the life cycle theory of infrastructure projects, and analyzes the possible risks in each stage to varying degrees. Finally, In this paper, the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is selected from all the analytical methods, and the systematic identification and analysis of the actual project risk is carried out by using its special pairwise comparison method. According to the results, this paper not only analyzes the new campus infrastructure projects of Z university from the four levels of risk projects, but also analyzes the effective countermeasures. Moreover, through the combination of AHP and life cycle theory, the content of risk project research is supplemented. Therefore, this paper can not only serve as a source of inspiration for the development of risk management of infrastructure projects in colleges and universities, but also in the form of life cycle theory. It can also enrich the research literature of risk management, popularize the application of risk management in engineering projects, and provide valuable reference for the management of capital construction projects in other colleges and universities.
【学位授予单位】：吉林大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：TU71

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