中小型电力建设项目风险管控与评价研究

发布时间：2018-04-26 02:41

本文选题：中小型电力项目 + 风险管控　；参考：《华北电力大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：自上世纪末,我国开始注重市场化改革,尤其是自1990年之后,国家各行业市场化进程日益加速,国民经济发展的几大支柱产业也在经受严峻的考验,其中电力行业作为国民经济的一大支柱,肩负着国计民生发展的大任。在中小型电力建设项目纷纷上马的情况下,如何控制电力建设项目有条不紊的开展和进行,怎样避免出现企业和居民用电短缺的情况,如何加强电力建设项目的风险管控将会成为我国电力发展的关键问题,对于我国国民经济改革和电力企业发展而言是十分重要的。本文基于内蒙古地区中小型电力建设项目的发展规模、管理现状及风险控制情况进行风险分析、风险识别、风险评估和风险管控等研究。首先,针对内蒙古地区中小型电力建设项目风险管理现状进行调研,继而整理可得；其次,根据整理情况阐述了当前我国中小型电力建设项目风险管理方面存在的诸多问题,进而提出了相应的优化完善对策；最后,以内蒙古地区M中小型电力建设项目为案例进行实证分析,以验证我国中小型电力建设项目风险评价理论的可行性和必要性。其中,本文将层次分析法(AHP)运用到M中小型电力建设项目的算例研究中。首先,阐述了AHP方法的基本原理和操作步骤；其次,通过二级指标法从四个层面选择21个指标对中小型电力建设项目进行综合评价。最后,基于定量分析结果,对前文所述理论进行验证。算例结果表明,应用层次分析法对中小型电力建设项目风险进行评价有助于客观地反映电力行业真实情况。文中结合风险管理的相关理论,制定中小型电力建设项目风险管理策略,建立风险防空体系。根据项目风险的分析结果,从可能产生风险的各个关键节点入手,提出风险规避方法及措施。本文提出的风险管理措施不仅能够促进中小型电力建设项目顺利完成,还能够建立科学有效的风险管理体系,将电力系统项目管理的风险降到最低点。
[Abstract]:Since the end of the last century, China has begun to pay attention to market-oriented reform. Especially since 1990, the process of marketization in various industries of the country has been accelerating day by day, and several pillar industries of national economic development have also been subjected to severe tests. The electric power industry, as a pillar of the national economy, shoulders the responsibility of the development of the national economy and the people's livelihood. How to control the orderly development and implementation of power construction projects, and how to avoid the shortage of electricity in enterprises and residents when the small and medium-sized electric power construction projects have been launched one after another? How to strengthen the risk control of electric power construction project will become the key problem of our country's electric power development, which is very important for the reform of national economy and the development of electric power enterprise. Based on the development scale, management status and risk control of small and medium-sized electric power construction projects in Inner Mongolia, this paper carries out risk analysis, risk identification, risk assessment and risk management and control. First of all, according to the status quo of risk management of small and medium-sized electric power construction projects in Inner Mongolia, and then collate the available; secondly, according to the collation of the status quo of China's small and medium-sized electric power construction project risk management problems, Finally, taking M small and medium electric power construction project in Inner Mongolia as a case study, the feasibility and necessity of risk evaluation theory of medium and small power construction project in China are verified. In this paper, Analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is applied to the calculation of M medium and small power construction projects. Firstly, the basic principle and operation steps of AHP method are expounded. Secondly, 21 indexes are selected from four levels to evaluate the small and medium-sized electric power construction project by the two-level index method. Finally, based on the results of quantitative analysis, the theory mentioned above is verified. The results show that the application of AHP to evaluate the risk of small and medium-sized electric power construction projects is helpful to objectively reflect the real situation of the power industry. Combined with the theory of risk management, this paper formulates the risk management strategy of small and medium-sized electric power construction projects, and establishes the risk air defense system. According to the results of project risk analysis, the risk aversion methods and measures are put forward from the key nodes that may produce risk. The risk management measures proposed in this paper can not only promote the smooth completion of small and medium-sized electric power construction projects, but also establish a scientific and effective risk management system to reduce the risk of power system project management to the lowest point.
【学位授予单位】：华北电力大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F426.61

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