重庆轨道交通五号线项目风险管理研究
发布时间：2018-08-13 09:51
【摘要】：在城市轨道交通项目管理中,项目前期管理占据着重要位置。由于城市轨道交通项目普遍具有投资规模大、建设周期长、技术要求要等特点,因此在项目正式施工前,其面临着较多不确定性因素,如果在项目前期的风险评估中,未对这些隐含的风险因素进行充分的识别和分析,那么在项目后续阶段中,这些风险因素很可能就会发生,进而影响轨道交通项目预期目标的实现,甚至导致项目的失败。在城市轨道交通项目的前期风险管理中,充分考虑项目的实际情况,科学识别、分析和评价项目实施与后续运营过程中存在的风险因素,并制定相关的风险防范措施,尽可能地降低风险发生的概率、减少风险发生带来的损失,对顺利实现项目建设和预期运营具有重要意义。本文希望通过研究轨道交通项目前期的风险管理,制定有效的风险应对措施,来保障城市轨道交通项目社会、经济和环境效益目标的实现。论文以项目前期风险管理为研究主题,以重庆轨道交通五号线项目为具体研究案例,在总结国内外专家研究成果和梳理相关理论的基础上,结合重庆轨道交通五号线项目的实际情况,识别了该项目主要存在政策、经济、技术、组织管理、施工管理以及不可抗力等风险,然后主要运用层次分析法对这些风险进行了评价,得出该项目排在前三位的风险分别是经济风险、技术风险、组织管理风险。在此基础上,论文有针对性地提出了相应的风险应对措施,以期为保证重庆轨道交通五号线项目的顺利实施提供科学指导。
[Abstract]:In the urban rail transit project management, the pre-project management occupies an important position. Because of the characteristics of large scale of investment, long construction period and technical requirements, urban rail transit projects are faced with many uncertain factors before the formal construction of the project, if in the early stage of the project risk assessment, If these hidden risk factors are not fully identified and analyzed, these risk factors will probably occur in the subsequent stage of the project, which will affect the realization of the expected objectives of the rail transit project and even lead to the failure of the project. In the early stage risk management of the urban rail transit project, the actual situation of the project is fully considered, the risk factors existing in the implementation and subsequent operation of the project are scientifically identified, analyzed and evaluated, and the relevant risk prevention measures are formulated. It is of great significance to reduce the probability of risk occurrence and reduce the loss caused by risk occurrence for the smooth implementation of project construction and expected operation. This paper hopes that by studying the risk management in the early stage of the rail transit project, we can formulate effective risk response measures to ensure the realization of the social, economic and environmental benefits of the urban rail transit project. The thesis takes the risk management in the early stage of the project as the research theme, and the Chongqing Rail Transit Line 5 as the specific case study, on the basis of summarizing the domestic and foreign experts' research results and combing the relevant theories. In light of the actual situation of the Chongqing Rail Transit Line 5 project, the main risks of the project are identified, such as policy, economy, technology, organization and management, construction management and force majeure. Then the paper evaluates these risks by AHP, and concludes that the top three risks of the project are economic risk, technical risk and organizational management risk. On this basis, the paper puts forward corresponding risk countermeasures in order to provide scientific guidance for ensuring the smooth implementation of Chongqing Rail Transit Line 5 project.
【学位授予单位】：西南交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：U215.1
本文编号：2180624
[Abstract]:In the urban rail transit project management, the pre-project management occupies an important position. Because of the characteristics of large scale of investment, long construction period and technical requirements, urban rail transit projects are faced with many uncertain factors before the formal construction of the project, if in the early stage of the project risk assessment, If these hidden risk factors are not fully identified and analyzed, these risk factors will probably occur in the subsequent stage of the project, which will affect the realization of the expected objectives of the rail transit project and even lead to the failure of the project. In the early stage risk management of the urban rail transit project, the actual situation of the project is fully considered, the risk factors existing in the implementation and subsequent operation of the project are scientifically identified, analyzed and evaluated, and the relevant risk prevention measures are formulated. It is of great significance to reduce the probability of risk occurrence and reduce the loss caused by risk occurrence for the smooth implementation of project construction and expected operation. This paper hopes that by studying the risk management in the early stage of the rail transit project, we can formulate effective risk response measures to ensure the realization of the social, economic and environmental benefits of the urban rail transit project. The thesis takes the risk management in the early stage of the project as the research theme, and the Chongqing Rail Transit Line 5 as the specific case study, on the basis of summarizing the domestic and foreign experts' research results and combing the relevant theories. In light of the actual situation of the Chongqing Rail Transit Line 5 project, the main risks of the project are identified, such as policy, economy, technology, organization and management, construction management and force majeure. Then the paper evaluates these risks by AHP, and concludes that the top three risks of the project are economic risk, technical risk and organizational management risk. On this basis, the paper puts forward corresponding risk countermeasures in order to provide scientific guidance for ensuring the smooth implementation of Chongqing Rail Transit Line 5 project.
【学位授予单位】：西南交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：U215.1
【参考文献】
相关期刊论文 前3条
1 盛锋;;考虑工作分解结构及关键路径的挣值进度分析方法[J];项目管理技术;2013年09期
2 王春浩;;我国建筑工程项目风险类型及风险管理对策研究[J];科技资讯;2012年14期
3 宋艺竹;;基于目标成本法的企业成本管理及应用[J];财政监督;2011年26期
，本文编号：2180624
本文链接：https://www.wllwen.com/guanlilunwen/xiangmuguanli/2180624.html
