海上LNG行业国际EPC项目风险预警机制的研究

发布时间：2018-08-30 13:15

【摘要】：近年来,天然气作为资源及储量巨大且易获取的的清洁式能源,倍受关注与青睐。天然气由于被液化压缩后形成的液化天然气LNG(Liquefied Natural Gas)有能量密度大及可被远距离输送的特点,已然成为世界油气工业产业的新焦点,随着陆地上易采油气资源的减少,海上气田备受关注,国际各大石油巨头也逐渐将利润视角转入液化天然气LNG业务,液化天然气LNG将成为继传统能源--石油后的下一个易引发全球争夺热门能源。本文认为风险需要注重在防范,如何识别出风险并定义出关键风险点显得尤为重要,这也是本文的主要研究内容。本课题以海上LNG国际EPC项目的风险管理为研究对象,在明晰EPC项目的特点、国际工程项目的特性、风险预警的相关研究、国际工程项目风险预警的研等基础上,将一般工程项目与海上LNG项目以国际EPC为视角做对比分析,利用模糊数学层次分析法对海上LNG行业国际EPC项目风险做举例分析,并识别海上LNG国际EPC项目的具体风险,建立风险预警机制,以期为我国海上LNG承包企业提供参考。本课题的研究,有助于提高作者所在单位在海上LNG国际EPC项目上的风险防范与管理能力,同时能够完善海上LNG国际EPC项目风险预警机制研究,提高我国海上LNG承包企业在国际EPC项目管理过程中的风险防范意识与整个风险管理能力,最终达到提高我国海上LNG承包企业的盈利和国际市场竞争能力的目标。
[Abstract]:In recent years, natural gas as a resource and reserves of clean energy and easy to obtain, has attracted much attention and favor. Due to the characteristics of high energy density and long distance transportation of natural gas formed by liquefied natural gas (LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas) after liquefaction compression, it has become a new focus of oil and gas industry in the world. Along with the decrease of easily recoverable oil and gas resources on land, natural gas has become a new focus of the world's oil and gas industry. Offshore gas fields have attracted much attention, and international oil giants have gradually shifted their profit perspective to liquefied natural gas (LNG) business. Liquefied natural gas (LNG) will become the next hot energy source after traditional energy-oil. This paper holds that risk should be paid attention to, how to identify the risk and define the key risk point is particularly important, which is also the main research content of this paper. This topic takes the risk management of the international EPC project of LNG at sea as the research object, on the basis of clarifying the characteristics of the EPC project, the characteristics of the international engineering project, the relevant research of the risk early warning, the research of the risk early warning of the international engineering project, etc. This paper makes a comparative analysis between general engineering projects and offshore LNG projects from the perspective of international EPC, analyzes the risks of international EPC projects in marine LNG industry by using fuzzy mathematics analytic hierarchy process, and identifies the specific risks of international EPC projects in marine LNG industries. To establish a risk early warning mechanism in order to provide a reference for China's marine LNG contracting enterprises. The research of this topic is helpful to improve the risk prevention and management ability of the author's unit on the offshore LNG international EPC project, at the same time, it can perfect the research on the risk early warning mechanism of the marine LNG international EPC project. To improve the awareness of risk prevention and the whole ability of risk management in the process of international EPC project management of China's offshore LNG contracting enterprises, the goal of improving the profitability and international market competitiveness of China's marine LNG contracting enterprises is finally achieved.
【学位授予单位】：天津大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F426.22;F125

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