BT模式工程项目风险管理研究

发布时间：2018-09-10 06:39

【摘要】：近年来,随着我国经济的不断高速发展,我国的城镇化进程将会不断加快。在城镇化建设中,城市基础设施建设与住房建设将是重要一环。BT模式作为一种新的投融资模式,其发展将十分有利于城市化进程中各个项目的推进。在公共设施建设中,BT模式不仅可以大大减轻政府部门的财政压力,而且它在拓宽社会投资渠道、创新融资模式方面发挥着重要作用。 BT模式作为BOT模式的变种,在国外已经十分成熟。这种模式引入到中国的时间还不长,在我国的使用还处于探索阶段。目前,在我国,有关于BT模式的工程项目还不太广泛。对于政府部门和投资方来说,这种模式虽然是一种“双赢”,但是这种模式的工程项目有其风险存在,所以BT模式工程项目的风险管理便成为一个十分重要且具有研究价值的课题。本文以BT模式工程项目风险管理理论为基础,以成都安仁文博小镇项目为案例,建立了BT项目风险指标评价体系,并且从实证的角度对该项目的风险要素进行了深入挖掘和详细分析,在一系列分析的基础上,找出了不同风险源的特点,并据此提出了相应的应对策略和措施。本文一共分为五章,具体结构和具体内容如下：第一章：绪论。文章的绪论部分首先论述了本文的研究背景和研究意义;然后从国内外的角度分别探讨了关于BT模式的研究成果；最后,就本文使用的研究方法以及本文的内容架构做出了交代。第二章：BT模式项目的基本分析。这部分先对BT的基本概念以及运作流程做了简要阐述,然后BT模式的主要类型进行了深入分析,最后文章比较了BT模式与其他相关模式的优缺点。第三章：BT模式项目的风险分析。这部分分别对BT项目风险的来源、风险的识别、风险的管理三大方面进行了论述。本章还对风险识别的方法进行了归纳总结,并从中选出一种方法——模糊综合评价法,作为下一章实证内容的方法基础。第四章：BT项目投资方风险管理实证分析。本章从投资方的角度来说,以具体的项目——成都安仁文博小镇项目的数据为基础,以模糊数学的理论为依据,构建了该项目的风险评价体系,并从中找出了风险的来源。最后,还就风险的应对策略和解决措施做出了深入阐述。第五章：结论与展望。从第四章的实例中,可以得出初步的结论。本章就这些初步的结论进行了进一步的引申,把个体的应对措施提升到宏观的角度,把个别的解决方案提升到制度层面。然后,本章还就本文的不足和进一步的改进措施进行了阐述。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the rapid development of China's economy, China's urbanization process will be accelerated. In urbanization construction, urban infrastructure construction and housing construction will be an important link. BT model as a new mode of investment and financing, its development will be very conducive to the advancement of various projects in the process of urbanization. In the construction of public facilities, the BT model can not only greatly reduce the financial pressure of the government, but also play an important role in broadening the social investment channels and innovating the financing mode. Abroad has been very mature. This model has not been introduced into China for a long time, and its use in China is still in the exploratory stage. At present, in China, there are about the BT model of the project is not very extensive. Although this model is a "win-win" for government departments and investors, there are risks to the project. So the risk management of BT project has become a very important and valuable topic. Based on the theory of BT project risk management and taking the small town project of Anren Wenbo in Chengdu as a case, the risk index evaluation system of BT project is established in this paper. Based on a series of analysis, this paper finds out the characteristics of different risk sources, and puts forward corresponding strategies and measures. This article is divided into five chapters, the specific structure and specific content as follows: chapter one: introduction. The introduction part of the article first discusses the research background and significance of this paper; then discusses the research results of BT model from the perspective of domestic and foreign; finally, The research methods used in this paper and the content structure of this paper are explained. The second chapter is the basic analysis of the project of: BT mode. In this part, the basic concept and operation flow of BT are briefly described, and then the main types of BT schema are analyzed in depth. Finally, the advantages and disadvantages of BT mode and other related modes are compared. Chapter 3: the risk analysis of BT model project. This part discusses the source of BT project risk, risk identification and risk management. This chapter also summarizes the methods of risk identification, and selects a method of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, which is the basis of the empirical content in the next chapter. Chapter 4: the empirical analysis of risk management of investor in BT project. From the perspective of investors, based on the data of Chengdu Anren Wenbo small town project and the theory of fuzzy mathematics, this chapter constructs the risk evaluation system of the project, and finds out the source of the risk. In the end, the paper makes a deep exposition on the strategy and solution of the risk. Chapter five: conclusion and prospect. A preliminary conclusion can be drawn from the examples in Chapter 4. This chapter carries on the further extension to these preliminary conclusions, promotes the individual response measure to the macroscopic angle, promotes the individual solution to the system level. Then, this chapter also describes the shortcomings of this paper and further improvement measures.
【学位授予单位】：西南财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F284;F299.24

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