牡丹江火车站改造项目风险管理研究

发布时间：2018-10-29 20:35

【摘要】：我国的第一条高铁在2008年8月开通运营,截至2016年全国现已开通及途径高铁城市505座。而国家为了加快城市发展缩短城市间距离,提出截止2020年我国铁路营运达到十五万公里,而高速铁路需要营运三万公里并且覆盖大陆百分之八十的城市。而东北地区作为重要的林业基地、能源基地、重工业基地等经济区域,但随着近些年中国南部地区改革开放的深入,东北地区地理位置的局限,使东北地区自改革开放之后逐渐落后与一些沿海城市,而铁路作为经济运输的大动脉、是联系国家重要的网络,所以对东北地区的铁路网进行优化升级,能够在一定程度上缓解物资、人员的运输紧张,并对我国东北地区的经济起到推进作用。而为适应高速铁路的发展一大批老式火车站面临着升级改造。牡丹江火车站作为黑龙江重要铁路站点。高速铁路的建设可以带动牡丹江与韩国、俄罗斯的进出口贸易往来、提高百姓出行质量,起到重要的推动作用。因此市委决定对牡丹江站进行全面改造,改造项目包括在原有地址上建设新式高铁动车站、站场改造、打通火车站地下隧道、老式天桥改造等工程,共计投入20多亿。而对于这个耗资20多亿的大项目,在建设施工阶段肯定会或多或少的带有一定的风险因素,而这些风险因素又有可能给项目带来或大或小的影响。这也说明我国在火车站项目规划、建设中的风险管理中也存在着管理意识的不足。而风险管理方面的经验不足和缺乏一些相关理论作为支撑,也说明我国在这方面的研究不足、不够深入。本文的重点以牡丹江火车站改造工程作为出发点,以该工程在新建改造中存在的风险展开研究,将重点放在工程中出现的关键性风险进行研究,运用项目风险管理流程通过各种方法和工具将牡丹江火车站改造项目中的风险因素进行查找,并将查找出的风险因素进行分类并排序。并以高度重视、重视、一般重视这三个级别做出标注。通过对不同类别、不同影响程度开展风险降低、风险防范、风险转嫁、风险规避、风险接受、风险储存在内的应对方案,参考以上三个级别针对性地制定应对方案,这样可对风险事件的应对起到促进作用。本文又从该项目的实际出发提出了一些保障措施,其中包括建立风险监控机制、加强人员安全意识培训、连同第三方机构对风险进行监管等。因此通过对牡丹江火车站改造项目风险管理的研究,研究总结出了一些卓有成效的风险管理方式,希望可以为国内其他城市日后进行的火车站风险改造项目提供有利帮助。
[Abstract]:China's first high-speed rail line opened in August 2008, and by 2016 there were 505 high-speed rail cities across the country. In order to speed up the development of cities and shorten the distance between cities, the state proposed that by 2020, China's railway operation should reach 150000 km, while high-speed railway should operate 30,000 km and cover 80% cities in mainland China. As an important forestry base, energy base, heavy industry base and other economic regions, the Northeast region has been restricted by its geographical location with the deepening of reform and opening up in southern China in recent years. Since the reform and opening up to the outside world, the Northeast region has gradually lagged behind with some coastal cities. As a major artery of economic transport, railways are linked to an important national network, so the railway network in the Northeast region has been optimized and upgraded. It can alleviate the shortage of material and personnel transportation to a certain extent, and promote the economy of Northeast China. In order to adapt to the development of high-speed railway, a large number of old railway stations are faced with upgrading and transformation. Mudanjiang Railway Station as an important railway station in Heilongjiang. The construction of high speed railway can promote the import and export trade between Mudanjiang and Korea, Russia, and improve the quality of people's travel. Therefore, the municipal party committee decided to carry on the comprehensive transformation to the Mudanjiang station, including the construction of the new high-speed railway station on the original address, the reconstruction of the station yard, the opening of the underground tunnel of the railway station, and the renovation of the old overpass, with a total investment of more than 2 billion. For this large project, which cost more than 2 billion dollars, it is sure to have some risk factors in the construction stage, and these risk factors may have a large or small impact on the project. This also shows that there is a shortage of management consciousness in railway station project planning and construction risk management. The lack of experience in risk management and lack of some related theories to support, also shows that our research in this area is not enough, not deep enough. This paper focuses on the Mudanjiang railway station transformation project as the starting point, with the project in the new construction of the risk of the study, will focus on the key risks in the project to study, The risk factors in Mudanjiang railway station reconstruction project are searched through various methods and tools by using the project risk management process, and the risk factors are classified and sorted. And to attach great importance to the general attention to these three levels of annotation. Through risk reduction, risk prevention, risk transfer, risk aversion, risk acceptance, risk storage, and reference to the above three levels, we can make the corresponding plan according to the different types and different degrees of influence of risk reduction, risk prevention, risk transfer, risk avoidance, risk acceptance, risk storage, and so on. This can promote the response to risk events. This paper also puts forward some safeguard measures from the actual situation of the project, including establishing risk monitoring mechanism, strengthening personnel safety awareness training, and so on, together with the third party organization to supervise the risk, and so on. Therefore, through the research on risk management of Mudanjiang railway station transformation project, the paper summarizes some effective risk management methods, hoping to provide favorable help for the railway station risk reconstruction project in other cities in China in the future.
【学位授予单位】：吉林大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：TU71;U291.19

【相似文献】