HD房地产建设项目风险管理研究

发布时间：2018-04-23 02:33

本文选题：HD项目 + 风险管理　；参考：《华东理工大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：近年来,在国家的大力扶持下,我国房地产建设项目快速发展。在这样背景下,房地产项目管理方式也在发生巨大变化,项目管理者日益意识到风险管理在房地产建设项目中的重要性,因此,房地产建设项目从过去的缺乏计划性的被动管理,往更加积极主动的方向在转变。房地产建设项目的管理者,希望将专业的项目风险管理技能应用到实际项目中,提升项目的整体风险管理水平。因此,对于建设项目风险管理的研究,可以促进房地产行业的建设和健康发展。本文基于项目风险管理相关理论,针对HD房地产建设项目(以下简称HD项目)的特点,沿着风险管理流程中"风险识别——风险评价——风险应对"的思路,采用专家调查法、层次分析法等方法,对HD项目的风险管理展开研究。首先,在风险管理理论基础上,借助于问卷调查法、专家访谈法,从投资决策阶段、前期准备阶段、施工阶段及租售阶段等方面进行风险识别。其次,借助层次分析法,对HD项目风险因素进行详细风险评估,分析出调控政策风险、金融政策风险是对HD项目影响最大的风险因素。最后针对已经得到的风险因素,从强化市场调研、采用科学方法进行项目估算、加强市场预测与分析等方面,提出了详实的风险防范策略。本文以风险管理为视角进行分析,探讨HD项目风险管理,为企业增益效能,同时对今后大型房地产建设项目的风险管理研究提出了值得借鉴的思路,对产业发展起到促进效果,具有一定的研究意义。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the support of the country, real estate construction projects in China are developing rapidly. In this context, real estate project management mode is also undergoing tremendous changes, project managers are increasingly aware of the importance of risk management in real estate construction projects, so, Real estate construction projects from the past lack of planning passive management, to a more proactive direction in the transformation. The managers of the real estate construction project hope to apply the professional project risk management skills to the actual project to improve the overall risk management level of the project. Therefore, the research on risk management of construction projects can promote the construction and healthy development of the real estate industry. Based on the theory of project risk management, according to the characteristics of HD real estate construction project (hereinafter referred to as HD project), this paper adopts the method of expert investigation according to the idea of "risk identification-risk evaluation-risk response" in the risk management process. The risk management of HD project is studied by Analytic hierarchy process (AHP). Firstly, on the basis of risk management theory, with the aid of questionnaire survey and expert interview, risk identification is carried out from investment decision-making stage, early preparation stage, construction stage and lease and sale stage. Secondly, with the help of Analytic hierarchy process (AHP), the risk factors of HD project are evaluated in detail, and the policy risk is analyzed. The financial policy risk is the most important risk factor affecting HD project. Finally, in view of the risk factors that have been obtained, from the aspects of strengthening market research, using scientific methods to estimate projects and strengthening market prediction and analysis, the detailed risk prevention strategies are put forward. This paper analyzes the risk management of HD project from the perspective of risk management, and discusses the efficiency of the risk management of HD project. At the same time, it puts forward some valuable ideas for the risk management research of large-scale real estate construction project in the future, which can promote the development of industry. Has certain research significance.
【学位授予单位】：华东理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：TU71

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