新都汇建设工程项目风险管理研究

发布时间：2018-04-28 21:04

本文选题：工程项目 + 风险管理　；参考：《西南石油大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：改革开放几十年来,人们的生活水平得到了极大的改善,大力发展与完善基础设施建设已成为新的社会需求。因建筑工程具有投资大、建设工期长等特性,建筑工程本身存在着诸多不确定的风险因素,为保证建筑工程项目保质保量的顺利实施和加大建设企业的收益,急需加大建设项目的风险管理。本文阐述了关于国内外对建设项目风险的有关研究,介绍了风险、风险管理、风险分析评估和风险应对措施的有关知识,通过以洛阳市"新都汇"建设项目的三个标段为为例,本文选用案例分析法、图表分析法和归纳演绎法等方法研究了施工方在项目建设过程中的有关风险管理。采用专家调查法对在建项目的管理人员进行开放式的调查问卷,对项目在建设中风险所隐藏的风险因素进行预测,对建设项目过程中的风险因素发生的概率进行识别,以及风险发生后对建设项目的影响的程度进行风险因素评估。通过对现场管人员调查问卷结果进行收集,将项目建设过程中存在的风险因素进行整理,最终可依据风险因素由小至大的顺序建立风险指标层次模型,在此模型的基础上,建立两两进行对比的正反矩阵,采用一定的判断依据,进而将所分析的因素进行加权平均,最后进一步的将第一层次的因素针对总目标进行排序加权平均,最终得到相对权重比率,并以此为依据进行风险因素相对重要性排序,确定各个风险因素对于工程总体的相对重要程度,进而将建设项目的风险因素进行评估和分析,为进一步的采取相应措施提供理论依据。通过对施工方所承建的"新都汇"前三个标段建设项目的研究,最终得到了相应的研究成果,为以后的有关建设项目提供一定的理论依据。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up in recent decades, people's living standards have been greatly improved, and the development and improvement of infrastructure construction has become a new social demand. Because the construction project has the characteristics of large investment and long construction period, there are many uncertain risk factors in the construction project itself. In order to ensure the smooth implementation of the quality and quantity of the construction project and increase the profit of the construction enterprise, It is urgent to strengthen the risk management of construction projects. This paper expounds the relevant research on the risk of construction project at home and abroad, introduces the knowledge of risk, risk management, risk analysis and assessment and measures to deal with risk. Taking the three segments of the construction project of "Xindu Huihui" in Luoyang as an example, In this paper, case analysis, chart analysis and inductive deduction are used to study the risk management in the process of project construction. Using the expert investigation method to carry on the open questionnaire to the managers of the project under construction, to forecast the hidden risk factors of the project in the construction, to identify the probability of the risk factors occurring in the process of the construction project. And the degree of impact on the construction project after the occurrence of risk assessment of risk factors. By collecting the questionnaire results of field managers and sorting out the risk factors existing in the process of project construction, the hierarchical model of risk indicators can be established according to the order of risk factors from small to large, on the basis of this model, The positive and negative matrix of pairwise contrast is established, and a certain basis of judgment is adopted, and then the factors analyzed are weighted average. Finally, the first level of factors is sorted and weighted average according to the total objective. Finally, the relative weight ratio is obtained, based on which the relative importance of risk factors is ranked, and the relative importance of each risk factor to the whole project is determined, and then the risk factors of the construction project are evaluated and analyzed. It provides theoretical basis for further taking corresponding measures. Through the research on the first three construction projects of Xindu Huihui, the corresponding research results are obtained, which provide a certain theoretical basis for the related construction projects in the future.
【学位授予单位】：西南石油大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：TU71

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