92县域城镇化时空演变及其影响因素

发布时间：2016-11-15 22:34

本文关键词：湖南省县域城镇化时空格局及其经济发展相关性研究，由笔耕文化传播整理发布。

产者和消费者在分享集聚外部性的过程中可促使城镇规；参考文献(References)；[1]定成日,谭善勇.中国城镇化发展特点、问题和；anyong.UrbanizationinChi；(10):28-34.]；[2]ShahbazM,LoganathanN,；STIRPAT.RenewableandSust；[3]YangJ,ZhangW,ZhangZY.；

产者和消费者在分享集聚外部性的过程中可促使城镇规模扩大。因此，县域工作的重心仍是努力提高人们生活水平，，通过释放经济需求引致供求结构变动来内生驱动城镇化发展。县域固定资产投资在倾向于工业化部门期间，应保持工业行业投资结构合理性，充分提升投资效率，在未来一段时期内，为了保持县域城镇化发展动力可持续性，还需加强以生产性服务业为主导的现代服务业行业投资力度，这对重工业基础较为薄弱的浙江县域经济体尤为重要。生产性服务业作为人力和知识资本传送器，可以有助于提高工业部门生产力，最终引起农村人口向城镇转移流动和集聚。从库兹涅茨和钱纳里最早注意到产业结构与城镇化互动关联开始，产业结构合理化与高级化成为影响城镇化发展的两种机制。基于此，鉴于浙江省整体农业用地现状，需通过农业现代化建设推行“农村城镇化”，以破除城乡二元结构。除此之外，避免城镇化过度滞后于工业化，以打破户籍制度作为前提，继续强化县域轻工业竞争力，适度弥补重工业基础，培育鼓励现代服务业生产体系，依靠产业结构合理化建立城镇化与工业化互动机制。对外开放极大推动了浙江省县域经济市场化程度，开放条件下，内外贸易必然会带来要素资源在更大空间尺度上的有序配置，特别是出口贸易不仅可提升本土企业市场竞争能力，并且在参与国际市场竞争过程中，出口贸易结构的变动也会有效提高企业劳动力需求弹性，增强农村剩余劳动力转移就业效应。因此，浙江省县域发展政策仍继续实施对外开放战略，积极开展对外贸易和引进外资，努力扩大进出口贸易，尤其是出口贸易，在缩小县际城镇化进程差异的同时，提高县域城镇化驱动力量。

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Spatial-temporalevolutionofcountyurbanizationand

itsinfluencingfactorsinZhejiangprovince

ZHANGLisheng

(CollegeofTourismandExhibition,HenanUniversityofEconomicsandLaw,Zhengzhou450002,China)

Abstract:Urbanizationistheonlywayinwhichacountymayrealizeitsmodernizationstrategy,intermsofcoordinatingregionaleconomicdevelopment,andexpandingdomesticdemandandpromotingindustrialupgrading.Asanorganizationmechanismofmarketeconomy,theZhejiangModelistypicalofthedevelopmentofthecountyeconomyofChina.Intheabsenceofconditionsforeconomicgrowthsuggestedbytheclassicaleconomictheory,theeconomicdevelopmentofthisprovincehasmaderemarkableachievementssinceChina'sreformandopening-up.Moreover,countyurbanizationholdsanfundamentalandirreplaceablepositionofChina'snationalurbanizationsystem,thusthereisagrowinginterestinresearchstudiesregardingthespatialandtemporalevolutionandinfluencingfactorsofcountyurbanization.ByapplyingthedataofthecountyurbanizationrateofZhejiangprovincefrom2000to2012,thispaperusesexploratoryspatialdataanalysistorevealspatial-temporaldisparitiesanddynamicevolution.Morespecifically,countyurbanizationshowssignificantglobalandlocalautocorrelationspatially,withhotareasofcountyurbanizationmainlyfoundaroundtheHangzhoucitybelts.Then,withtheaidofspatialpaneleconometrictechnology,thispaperconductsanempiricalstudyontheinfluencingfactorsofcountyurbanization.Theregressionresultsshowthatcountyurbanizationhassignificantspatialspillovereffects,namelycountyurbanizationwillalsobepromotedinareasadjacenttotheareawherecountyurbanizationisundertaken.Additionally,economicgrowth,investmentinfixedassets,andtheproportionofthesecondaryindustryandforeigntradedependencehavepositiveeffectsoncountyurbanization,butthegapbetweenurbanandruralareashasanegativeeffectoncountyurbanization.EmpiricalfindingsindicatethatthecenterofZhejiang'scountyurbanizationistheHangzhou-Ningboregion.Thistypeofspatialdistributionpatternhashinderedthebalanceddevelopmentofcountyurbanization.GovernmentsatvariouslevelsshouldfocusondeveloppotentialhotspotsofcountyurbanizationintheJinhua-QuzhouandWenzhou-Taizhouregionstoformapatternoftripartiteconfrontation,therebyguaranteeingtheorderlyandprogressivedevelopmentofcountyurbanizationinZhejiang.Inaddition,localprotectionandadministrativebarriersofinter-countyurbanizationshouldbebrokeninordertostrengtheninteractiveconstruction.

Keywords:countyurbanization;spatial-temporalevolution;influencingfactors;Zhejiangprovince

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