基于投入产出数据的云南产业结构分析研究

发布时间：2018-01-01 12:30

本文关键词：基于投入产出数据的云南产业结构分析研究　出处：《云南大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：合理的产业结构和协调的产业发展是一个地区或一个国家经济健康、快速和稳定发展的基本前提和重要动力,同时产业结构调整则又是经济增长永恒的主题和难题。产业结构的转换在一定条件下可以加速社会经济总量增长,并且越高的产量结构转换率能带来越迅速的经济总量增长率。自从我国实施改革开放政策以来就不断地进行产业结构的调整,从而促使我国的经济持续高速增长二十余年。目前云南省正处在三次产业结构调整的关键时期,对产业结构进行合理的优化升级将促进云南经济更好更快发展,要实现这个目标,必须要以准确的数量分析为基础。本文正是大数据环境下以产业结构调整为出发点,充分运用统计数据,着重分析研究了云南省的产业结构及发展变化。关于实证部分研究中,本篇论文先对该省的产业结构发展情况作了深入探究与专业分析,得出结论即云南全省生产总值的增长呈下降趋势,但是总量在稳定上升,云南省产业结构水平还不高,产业结构存在协调水平较低,产业结构的比例还比较不合理。紧接着,本文再从总产出的角度出发,逐一分析了云南省三次产业结构的问题及变化,以及基于投入产出数据的云南产业部门的关联分析,发现各产业部门对经济发展的带动作用,这对确定目前和将来云南重点发展的产业部门以及识别发展不好的甚至是拖后腿的产业部门,从而制定出符合云南实际情况并促进云南经济健康稳定发展的政策具有重要的现实意义和参考价值。本文还引入加权影响力系数、影响力系数、感应度系数进行运算,以此为依据分别对云南省42个部门情况进行详细分析,得到云南支柱产业的现状,并对云南潜在的支柱产业进行分析。最后,通过前面的分析研究,总结云南省产业结构的现状及产业发展存在的问题,并提出有利于云南省产业结构优化升级,促进云南省经济健康、快速和稳定发展的建议。
[Abstract]:Rational industrial structure and coordinated industrial development is the basic premise and important motive force for a region or a country to develop healthily, rapidly and steadily. At the same time, the adjustment of industrial structure is the eternal theme and difficult problem of economic growth. The transformation of industrial structure can accelerate the total growth of social economy under certain conditions. And the higher the yield structure conversion rate can bring the faster the total economic growth rate. Since the implementation of the reform and opening policy since the implementation of industrial structure adjustment. Yunnan Province is in the key period of three industrial structure adjustment at present. The rational optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure will promote the better and faster development of Yunnan economy. In order to achieve this goal, we must take accurate quantitative analysis as the basis. This paper is just under the environment of big data to adjust the industrial structure as the starting point, the full use of statistical data. Focus on the analysis of the industrial structure and development of Yunnan Province. On the empirical part of the study, this paper first of the province's industrial structure development in-depth exploration and professional analysis. The conclusion is that the growth of the GDP of Yunnan Province is decreasing, but the total amount is rising steadily, the level of industrial structure of Yunnan Province is not high, and the level of coordination of industrial structure is low. The proportion of industrial structure is not reasonable. Then, from the perspective of total output, this paper analyzes the problems and changes of the three industrial structure in Yunnan Province one by one. And based on the input-output data related analysis of the Yunnan industrial sector found that the industrial sector of the driving role of economic development. This will determine the current and future key development of the industrial sector in Yunnan and identify the development of poor or even lagging industrial sectors. Therefore, it is of great practical significance and reference value to formulate policies that accord with the actual situation of Yunnan and promote the healthy and stable development of Yunnan economy. This paper also introduces the weighted influence coefficient and influence coefficient. Based on the analysis of 42 departments in Yunnan Province, the inductance coefficient is calculated, and the status quo of Yunnan pillar industry is obtained. Finally, the potential pillar industry in Yunnan is analyzed. Through the previous analysis and research, this paper summarizes the current situation of the industrial structure of Yunnan Province and the existing problems of industrial development, and points out that it is conducive to the optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure of Yunnan Province, and to promote the healthy economy of Yunnan Province. Suggestions for rapid and stable development.
【学位授予单位】：云南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F127

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