中国式产业政策引致产能过剩吗——基于中国工业行业面板数据的经验分析

发布时间：2018-01-17 13:03

本文关键词：中国式产业政策引致产能过剩吗——基于中国工业行业面板数据的经验分析　出处：《华中科技大学学报(社会科学版)》2017年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：本文从产业政策的角度探讨我国产能过剩的成因,采用双重差分策略分别对中国鼓励类和抑制类产业政策与产能利用率的关系进行实证检验。研究结果显示,激励类产业政策显著提升了产能过剩发生的可能性,且这种影响具有一定的持续性;抑制类产业政策仅在短期发挥出化解产能过剩的作用,中长期的效果并不显著。另外,出口有利于缓和激励类产业政策的影响,行业中国有产权比重越大则越有利于提高化解产能过剩的政策效果。总体而言,本文的实证结果在一定程度上支持了当前我国产业政策引发了产能过剩的论断,也说明有效地化解和防止产能过剩应从政府直接干预市场为特征的选择性产业政策模式,逐渐转型为增进与扩展市场为特征的功能性产业政策模式。
[Abstract]:This paper discusses the causes of overcapacity in China from the perspective of industrial policy, and uses double difference strategy to test the relationship between industrial policy and productivity utilization ratio in China. The incentive industry policy has significantly increased the possibility of overcapacity, and this impact has a certain degree of sustainability; The effect of restraining industrial policy is not significant in the medium and long term. In addition, export helps to alleviate the impact of incentive industrial policy. The larger the proportion of state-owned property right in the industry, the more conducive to improve the policy effect of resolving overcapacity. Overall, the empirical results of this paper to some extent support the current industrial policy of our country led to the argument of overcapacity. It also shows that the effective solution and prevention of overcapacity should be changed from the selective industrial policy model characterized by direct government intervention in the market to the functional industrial policy model characterized by the enhancement and expansion of the market.
【作者单位】：电子科技大学中山学院;广西大学商学院;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目“中国式产业政策对产能过剩的影响效应及政策优化研究”(16YJC790145)
【分类号】：F120
【正文快照】： 一、引言在我国经济发展过程中,产业政策被频繁运用[1]。在理论上,后发国家通过产业政策推动产业结构调整和转型升级、克服市场失灵造成的低效率具有一定合理性,然而现实中的产业政策却往往偏离政策目标,导致种种非效率现象,引发广泛质疑,其中产能过剩就是较为突出的问题之一

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