创新扩散与全球产业结构优化——基于Agent模拟的研究

发布时间：2018-03-09 23:05

本文选题：创新　切入点：基于自主体的建模　出处：《科学学研究》2017年04期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：创新扩散对推动区域产业结构转型调整具有重要影响。基于自主体模拟(Agent-based Simulation,ABS)方法,本文将微观尺度上企业创新扩散行为和宏观尺度上产业结构优化联系起来,构建一个从异质性企业出发,到区域产业结构演化的解释模型,来探索创新扩散与全球产业结构优化的相关问题。主要研究发现:对于中国而言,过程创新更有利于其产业结构合理化发展,而对于其他地区而言,产品创新则更有利于其产业结构向其合理化方向演化。与美国、中国和俄罗斯等地相比,提高产品创新规模则有利于推动日本、印度和欧盟等地的产业结构朝着合理化方向演化发展。此外,对中国、日本、印度和欧盟等地来说,扩大过程创新规模有利于推动这些地区的产业结构由相对低效的第一产业向相对高效的第二和第三产业演化发展,从而能推动其产业结构转型升级,但对于美国和俄罗斯而言,较低的过程创新规模更能促进其区域产业结构优化发展。最后,研究还发现不同创新模式在区域中所具有的作用及其产生的区域产业发展效应存在较大差异,因而在区域经济治理中需要采取差别化的创新驱动发展战略。同时区域产业发展维度与创新的空间维度可能存在一定的匹配性。这就为全球创新治理政策制定提供了重要基础理论依据。
[Abstract]:Innovation diffusion plays an important role in promoting the transformation and adjustment of regional industrial structure. Based on the self-simulation Agent-based simulation method, this paper links the innovation diffusion behavior of enterprises on the micro scale with the industrial structure optimization on the macro scale. This paper constructs an explanatory model from heterogeneous enterprises to regional industrial structure evolution to explore the problems related to innovation diffusion and global industrial structure optimization. Process innovation is more conducive to the rationalization of its industrial structure, while for other regions, product innovation is more conducive to the evolution of its industrial structure in the direction of rationalization. Compared with places such as the United States, China and Russia, Increasing the scale of product innovation will help to promote the evolution of industrial structures in Japan, India and the European Union. In addition, for China, Japan, India and the European Union, Expanding the scale of process innovation can promote the evolution of industrial structure in these areas from relatively inefficient primary industry to relatively efficient secondary and tertiary industries, thus promoting the transformation and upgrading of their industrial structure, but for the United States and Russia, The low scale of process innovation can promote the optimization and development of regional industrial structure. Finally, it is found that different innovation modes have different effects on regional industrial development. Therefore, it is necessary to adopt the differentiated strategy of innovation-driven development in regional economic governance. At the same time, there may be some matching between the dimension of regional industrial development and the dimension of innovation. This is a suggestion for the formulation of global innovation governance policy. It provides an important basis for basic theory.
【作者单位】：浙江财经大学经济学院;华东师范大学地理信息科学教育部重点实验室;中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所;
【基金】：科技部创新方法工作(2013IM010100Z) 中国科学院重大战略咨询项目(Y501141S03)
【分类号】：F113.2;F113.1

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