我国三次产业融合发展的时空分异特征

发布时间：2018-03-25 02:14

本文选题：三次产业　切入点：融合发展　出处：《经济地理》2017年07期

【摘要】：以我国31个省份作为研究对象,综合运用熵权法、系统耦合协调度模型、探索性和空间回归模型等方法,研究了2005、2010和2015年三次产业融合发展水平的时空差异变化。研究表明:(1)我国三次产业融合发展的综合水平总体呈上升趋势,并且,东部、东北部、中部和西部四大经济地区也符合此整体趋势;相比之下,在我国一二三产业中,工业的发展水平最高,农业次之,第三产业最低。(2)从整体来看,虽然我国三次产业融合发展水平处于拮抗期且耦合协调度不高,但其大致呈上升趋势,尤其是处于勉强协调类型的省份数量由原来的北京、天津、上海3个省份增加至9个省份。(3)就空间角度而言,我国三次产业融合发展水平的耦合协调度具有明显的空间非均衡性,呈"东高—西低"格局,即东部沿海省份和东北地区的辽宁省耦合协调度较高,中部省份次之,而西部省份的耦合协调度最低且处于濒临失调状态。(4)从空间关联性来看,我国三次产业融合发展水平具有正相关性,并且产业融合发展水平的HH型主要集聚在东部环渤海地区和长三角地区。
[Abstract]:Taking 31 provinces of our country as the research object, the methods of entropy weight method, system coupling and coordination degree model, exploratory and spatial regression model are used synthetically. This paper studies the temporal and spatial variation of the three industrial convergence development levels in 2005 and 2015. The results show that the comprehensive level of the three industrial convergence development in China is on the whole rising, and, in the east, in the northeast, in the east, in the northeast, in the east, in the northeast, in the east, in the northeast, The four major economic regions in the central and western regions also conform to this overall trend. In contrast, among the first, second and third industries in China, the level of industrial development is the highest, followed by agriculture, and the tertiary industry is the lowest. Although the level of development of the three industrial conversions in China is in an antagonistic period and the degree of coupling and coordination is not high, it is generally on the rise, especially in the number of provinces with the type of barely coordinated from the original Beijing and Tianjin. From the spatial point of view, the degree of coupling and coordination of the development level of the three industrial convergence in Shanghai has obvious spatial disequilibrium, showing a pattern of "east high to west low". That is, the degree of coupling and coordination between the eastern coastal province and the northeast region is higher, followed by the central province, while the western province has the lowest degree of coupling coordination and is on the verge of misalignment. There is a positive correlation in the development level of three industrial convergence in China, and HH type of industrial integration development level is mainly concentrated in the eastern Bohai Rim region and Yangtze River Delta region.
【作者单位】：财政部财政科学研究院;吉首大学商学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(71363015、71503101) 国家社会科学基金重大项目(14ZDA041) 国家民委研究项目(2016-GMF-018) 湖南省“湖湘青年英才计划”支持项目(湘财行指[2016]82号) 湖南省教育厅优秀青年项目(16B218)
【分类号】：F124

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