中部地区承接产业转移与城市化的互动效应研究——基于2009～2014年安徽省地级市的数据检验

发布时间：2018-03-27 10:59

本文选题：承接产业转移　切入点：城市化　出处：《铜陵学院学报》2016年06期

【摘要】：借鉴系统动力学分析模型,建立了区际产业转移推动转入地城市化进程的理论分析框架。基于安徽省2009-2014年地级市的面板数据,以省外投资形成的资本存量来度量产业转移,通过构建联立方程模型实证检验了承接产业转移与城市化进程之间的互动关系。研究发现:产业转移与城市化之间存在内生性的关系,二者之间均存在正向的相互关系,且城市化在其中处于主导地位;此外,对外开放程度、教育水平、城乡收入差距对城市化的影响均是正向显著的,而国有产值比重对城市化的影响却是反向显著的;地区经济发展的规模和产业转移的路径依赖效应则对产业转移的影响是正向显著的。
[Abstract]:Based on the panel data of the prefecture-level cities in Anhui Province from 2009-2014, the paper establishes a theoretical analysis framework of the inter-regional industrial transfer to promote the urbanization process by using the system dynamics analysis model. Based on the panel data of the prefecture-level cities in Anhui Province from 2009 to 2014, the industrial transfer is measured by the capital stock formed by the external investment. By constructing the simultaneous equation model, the paper empirically tests the interaction between the industrial transfer and the urbanization process, and finds that there is an endogenous relationship between the industrial transfer and the urbanization, and there is a positive relationship between them. In addition, the degree of opening to the outside world, education level and income gap between urban and rural areas have a positive and significant impact on urbanization, while the proportion of state-owned production value has a reverse effect on urbanization. The scale of regional economic development and the path-dependent effect of industrial transfer have a positive and significant impact on industrial transfer.
【作者单位】：安庆师范大学;
【基金】：国家社科基金项目“中部地区承接产业与城市化互动机制研究”(12BJL081) 安徽省软科学研究计划项目“非均衡发展视域下安徽省城市增长极的外溢效应研究”(1607a0202060)
【分类号】：F121.3;F299.2

【相似文献】