产业结构变动对城市经济承载力增长的贡献——以辽宁省14个城市为例

发布时间：2018-04-12 15:46

本文选题：产业结构 + 经济承载力　；参考：《地域研究与开发》2017年04期

【摘要】：以辽宁省14个城市为例,在利用非线性模糊综合评价法和三轴图分别测度城市经济承载力和产业结构变动规律的基础上,从相关性和贡献度两个层次探讨产业结构变动对经济承载力增长的贡献。研究结果表明:首先,1985—2014年辽宁省14个城市经济承载力整体呈现倒"U"型变化,产业结构以第二产业为主,呈现"J"型结构。其中,1985—2003年大部分城市第三产业比重上升并占据首位,产业结构优化程度加强,经济承载力稳步提升;2003—2014年第二产业比重回升,产业结构水平下滑,城市经济承载力增速放缓甚至下降。其次,辽宁14个城市的产业结构变动与城市经济承载力表现出了较强的相关性,在此基础上进行的贡献度分析表明产业结构的变动对城市经济承载力有直接且明显的贡献作用,其中第三产业贡献度最高。
[Abstract]:Taking 14 cities in Liaoning Province as an example, based on the nonlinear fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method and triaxial map to measure the urban economic carrying capacity and the changing law of industrial structure respectively,The contribution of industrial structure change to the growth of economic carrying capacity is discussed from the two levels of relevance and contribution.The results show that: firstly, the economic carrying capacity of 14 cities in Liaoning Province showed "U" type change in whole from 1985 to 2014, and the industrial structure was mainly secondary industry and "J" type structure.From 1985 to 2003, the proportion of the tertiary industry in most cities rose and occupied the first place, the degree of industrial structure optimization was strengthened, the economic carrying capacity steadily increased and the proportion of the secondary industry rose from 2003 to 2014, and the level of industrial structure declined.The growth rate of urban economic carrying capacity slows down or even drops.Secondly, the changes of industrial structure in 14 cities in Liaoning show a strong correlation with the economic carrying capacity of cities, and the contribution degree analysis based on this shows that the changes of industrial structure have a direct and obvious contribution to the economic carrying capacity of cities.Among them, tertiary industry contribution is the highest.
【作者单位】：华东师范大学中国现代城市研究中心;华东师范大学城市与区域科学学院;辽宁师范大学海洋经济与可持续发展研究中心;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(41571127) 辽宁省高等学校优秀科技人才支持计划(WR2014005)
【分类号】：F127

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