江西省对外贸易结构变化对产业结构升级的影响研究

发布时间：2018-04-16 20:25

本文选题：对外贸易结构 + 产业结构　；参考：《江西财经大学》2016年硕士论文

【摘要】：改革开放以来,江西省经济发展迅速,其中对外贸易的发展尤为突出。对外贸易的发展对经济的促进作用日益明显,已经成为江西省经济发展的重要方式。但是,经济快速发展的背后,却是高污染、高浪费和低效率的"粗放型"发展模式,在获得经济快速发展的同时所付出的代价也越来越大。只有在经济结构合理的条件下,经济的发展才能更持久和更具有竞争力。要想经济结构更合理化,应该转换经济发展方式,需要进一步促进江西省产业结构的优化。本文首先介绍了研究背景和研究意义,对国内外相关的文献进行了梳理和归纳,介绍了对外贸易结构变化对产业结构升级产生影响的理论基础,在此基础上,总结了作用机理。然后,分析了 1994-2013年江西省对外贸易结构和产业结构的现状,发现二者存在的问题。再运用多元线性回归方程,利用实证分析了江西省对外贸易结构对产业结构升级的影响。最后,根据理论分析,现状分析以及实证分析得出的结果,分别从对外贸易结构和产业结构两个角度提出了相对应的对策和建议。理论分析部分,主要从比较优势理论、产品生命周期理论、幼稚工业保护论、雁行理论和战略性贸易政策理论分析了对外贸易结构对产业结构升级的理论依据,在此基础上总结了作用机理,对外贸易结构主要是通过要素禀赋、需求、技术、国际产业关联效应对产业结构的升级产生影响。实证分析部分,本文收集了 1994-2013年江西省对外贸易结构和产业结构的相关数据,主要有分类产品(本文将对外贸易结构分为资源密集型,劳动密集型,资本、技术密集型三大类产品)进出口额占总进出口额的比重,三次产业产值占地区生产总值的比重,江西省年度人口,人均GDP等数据,运用多元线性方程进行回归分析,实证结果表明,江西省的出口商品结构推动了产业结构的优化,但是进口结构与产业结构的变化没有明显的相关关系,因此,仍然需要加强对产业结构和对外贸易结构的优化升级。根据前面章节的分析,本文最后一部分提出了优化江西省产业结构以及对外贸易结构的对策。具体来说,需要进一步优化江西省出口商品的结构,督促江西省出口企业提高自主创新能力;扩大进口的规模,积极引进先进的技术;大力发展现代农业,推进第一产业内部的全面发展;走新型工业化道路,促进产业国际竞争力的提高;提升第三产业的发展水平,大力发展现代服务业。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, Jiangxi Province's economy has developed rapidly, in which the development of foreign trade is particularly prominent.The development of foreign trade plays an increasingly important role in promoting the economy and has become an important way of economic development in Jiangxi Province.However, behind the rapid economic development is the "extensive" development model with high pollution, high waste and low efficiency.Only under the condition of reasonable economic structure, can economic development be more sustainable and competitive.In order to rationalize the economic structure, we should change the mode of economic development and further promote the optimization of industrial structure in Jiangxi Province.This paper first introduces the research background and research significance, combs and summarizes the related literature at home and abroad, and introduces the theoretical basis of the influence of foreign trade structure change on the upgrading of industrial structure. On this basis, it summarizes the mechanism of action.Then, the paper analyzes the present situation of Jiangxi's foreign trade structure and industrial structure from 1994 to 2013, and finds out the problems between them.Then, using the multiple linear regression equation, the paper analyzes the influence of Jiangxi's foreign trade structure on the upgrading of industrial structure.Finally, according to the results of theoretical analysis, current situation analysis and empirical analysis, the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward from the perspective of foreign trade structure and industrial structure respectively.The theoretical analysis part mainly analyzes the theoretical basis of the upgrading of industrial structure by foreign trade structure from comparative advantage theory, product life cycle theory, infant industry protection theory, wild goose travel theory and strategic trade policy theory.On this basis, the mechanism of foreign trade is summarized. The structure of foreign trade affects the upgrading of industrial structure mainly through factor endowment, demand, technology and international industrial correlation effect.In the part of empirical analysis, this paper collects relevant data of foreign trade structure and industrial structure of Jiangxi Province from 1994 to 2013, mainly classified products (this paper divides foreign trade structure into resource-intensive, labor-intensive, capital-intensive, etc.The ratio of import and export to the total import and export value, the proportion of the output value of the three industries to the regional gross domestic product, the annual population of Jiangxi Province, the per capita GDP data, etc., are analyzed by using multiple linear equations.The empirical results show that the export commodity structure of Jiangxi Province promotes the optimization of the industrial structure, but there is no obvious correlation between the import structure and the change of the industrial structure.We still need to strengthen the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure and foreign trade structure.According to the analysis of the previous chapters, the last part of this paper puts forward the countermeasures to optimize the industrial structure and foreign trade structure of Jiangxi Province.Specifically, it is necessary to further optimize the structure of Jiangxi's export commodities, urge Jiangxi's export enterprises to improve their independent innovation capabilities, expand the scale of imports, actively introduce advanced technology, and vigorously develop modern agriculture.Promote the overall development of the primary industry; take the new road of industrialization to promote the international competitiveness of the industry; improve the level of development of the tertiary industry; vigorously develop the modern service industry.
【学位授予单位】：江西财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F752.8;F121.3

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