贵州产业结构变动对城乡收入差距的影响研究

发布时间：2018-04-22 03:13

本文选题：贵州 + 产业结构　；参考：《贵州财经大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：导致城乡收入差距变化的因素是多方面的,产业结构变动就是其中的一个重要因素。产业结构与就业结构、收入分配、消费结构之间相互关联,进而使得产业结构与城乡收入差距之间具有紧密的联系。贵州在全国属于经济欠发达的地区,产业结构与就业结构严重偏离,第一产业中存在的大量剩余劳动力不能有效地向第二、三产业转移,导致城乡收入差距不断扩大。贵州如何通过调整、优化产业结构来缓解城乡收入差距的扩大,是目前亟需研究解决的重要问题。本文首先对产业结构理论、收入分配理论和二元经济结构理论等相关理论和文献进行了梳理,从理论上探讨了产业结构对城乡收入影响的内在作用机制,并对贵州省产业结构与城乡收入状况两者的变化趋势进行了分析。在此基础上,综合运用协整检验、格兰杰因果关系检验和脉冲响应分析等计量经济学方法,对贵州省产业结构变动对城乡收入差距的影响做了动态计量分析,并根据理论分析和实证分析的结果,从产业结构的视角提出了缩小城乡收入差距的政策建议。本文的主要结论如下:第一,贵州三次产业产值比重的变动与城乡工资性收入、城乡经营性收入之间均存在长期的均衡关系。第二,三次产业产值比重的变动是引起城乡工资性收入差距扩大的格兰杰原因,且第三产业产值比重还是引起城乡经营性收入差距扩大的原因。第三,第一产业比重变动对城乡工资性收入差距的扩大具有正向影响;第二产业产值比重变动对城乡工资性收入差距的扩大具有负向影响;第三产业产值比重变动对城乡工资性收入差距的扩大先是具有正向影响,但随后转变为负向影响,且正向影响的程度要大于负向影响。第四,第三产业比重变动对城乡经营性收入差距的扩大的影响由负向影响转变为正向影响,且正向影响的程度要大于负向影响。本文的主要贡献是:摒弃了过去那种对城乡居民收入不加区分、直接将其作为一个整体引入相关的分析的做法,根据城乡居民收入的分类,剔除了与产业结构关系不大的财产性收入和转移性收入这两类收入,用余下的两类收入(工资性收入和经营性收入)及三次产业的产值比重数据来建立模型,得到的结果合乎理论预期,也更加合乎实际。
[Abstract]:There are many factors leading to the change of income gap between urban and rural areas, and the change of industrial structure is one of the important factors. Industrial structure and employment structure, income distribution, consumption structure are interrelated, which makes the industrial structure and urban-rural income gap have a close relationship. Guizhou is an underdeveloped region in China, the industrial structure deviates seriously from the employment structure, and a large number of surplus labor force in the primary industry can not be effectively transferred to the second and third industries, which leads to the widening income gap between urban and rural areas. How to adjust and optimize the industrial structure to alleviate the widening of urban-rural income gap is an important problem that needs to be solved. In this paper, the theory of industrial structure, the theory of income distribution and the theory of dual economic structure and other related theories and literature are reviewed, and the internal mechanism of the influence of industrial structure on urban and rural income is discussed theoretically. The change trend of industrial structure and urban and rural income in Guizhou Province is analyzed. On this basis, using the econometrics methods such as co-integration test, Granger causality test and impulse response analysis, this paper makes a dynamic econometric analysis on the effect of the industrial structure change on the urban-rural income gap in Guizhou Province. According to the results of theoretical analysis and empirical analysis, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions on narrowing the income gap between urban and rural areas from the perspective of industrial structure. The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: first, there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the change of the proportion of the output value of the three industries in Guizhou and the urban-rural wage income and the urban-rural operating income. Second, the change of the proportion of the tertiary industry output value is the cause of the widening gap between urban and rural wage income, and the third industry ratio of output value is also the cause of the widening of urban and rural income gap. Third, the change of the proportion of the primary industry has a positive impact on the widening of the urban-rural wage income gap, and the change of the proportion of the output value of the secondary industry has a negative impact on the expansion of the urban-rural wage income gap. The change of the proportion of tertiary industry output value has a positive effect on the widening of wage income gap between urban and rural areas, but then changes into a negative impact, and the degree of positive impact is greater than that of negative impact. Fourth, the influence of the change of tertiary industry proportion on the widening of the income gap between urban and rural areas has changed from negative to positive, and the degree of positive influence is greater than that of negative influence. The main contribution of this paper is to abandon the past practice of not differentiating the income of urban and rural residents, and directly introducing it as a whole into the relevant analysis, according to the classification of income of urban and rural residents. Excluding the property income and transfer income which are not related to the industrial structure, the model is established by using the remaining two types of income (wage income and operating income) and the ratio data of the output value of the three industries. The results obtained are in line with theoretical expectations and are more realistic.
【学位授予单位】：贵州财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F124.7;F121.3

【参考文献】