“十三五”时期我国产业新增长点的甄别与发展策略
发布时间：2018-08-18 17:54
【摘要】：当前,对"十三五"时期产业新增长点的选择及如何培育壮大存在众多争论。按照增速和规模、影响力、符合供需条件变化、国际动态比较优势四项标准,从十余项备选清单中甄别出健康、文化、节能环保与新能源、新一代信息技术、高端装备制造和旅游业等六大领域,是"十三五"时期最有可能发展成为新兴支柱产业的新增长点,预计2020年产值规模可达60万亿元~80万亿元,占同期GDP比重18%~25%。在此基础上,分析"十三五"时期产业新增长点发展面临的共性问题与制约因素,明确加快培育壮大产业新增长点、构筑经济增长新动力的发展愿景与目标,政策规划的重点应为厘清政府和市场边界、坚持市场主体培育产业新增长点,强化产业新增长点供需两端的政策支持,因"业"制宜绘制"产业改革路线图",营造有利于产业新增长点涌现更迭的制度环境。
[Abstract]:At present, there are many controversies on the selection of new industrial growth point and how to cultivate and expand during the 13th five-year Plan period. According to the four standards of growth, scale, influence, consistent with the changing conditions of supply and demand, and international dynamic comparative advantage, we can identify health, culture, energy conservation, environmental protection, new energy sources, and a new generation of information technology from a list of more than 10 alternatives. Six major fields, such as high-end equipment manufacturing and tourism, are the most likely to develop into a new growth point for emerging pillar industries during the 13th Five-Year Plan period. It is estimated that the annual output value in 2020 can reach 60 trillion yuan to 80 trillion yuan, accounting for 18 or 25 percent of GDP in the same period. On this basis, this paper analyzes the common problems and restrictive factors faced by the development of the new growth point of industry during the 13th Five-Year Plan period, and makes clear the development vision and goal of speeding up the cultivation of the new growth point of the industry and constructing the new power of economic growth. The focus of the policy planning should be to clarify the boundaries between the government and the market, to persist in the cultivation of new industrial growth points by market subjects, and to strengthen policy support at both ends of the supply and demand sides of new industrial growth points. Because the "industry" should draw the "road map of industry reform", it can create a system environment conducive to the emergence and change of the new growth point of industry.
【作者单位】： 国家发展和改革委员会产业经济与技术经济研究所;
【基金】：国家发展和改革委员会宏观经济研究院重点课题“‘十三五’培育产业新增长点对策研究”(编号:A2015041005)的成果
【分类号】：F121.3
[Abstract]:At present, there are many controversies on the selection of new industrial growth point and how to cultivate and expand during the 13th five-year Plan period. According to the four standards of growth, scale, influence, consistent with the changing conditions of supply and demand, and international dynamic comparative advantage, we can identify health, culture, energy conservation, environmental protection, new energy sources, and a new generation of information technology from a list of more than 10 alternatives. Six major fields, such as high-end equipment manufacturing and tourism, are the most likely to develop into a new growth point for emerging pillar industries during the 13th Five-Year Plan period. It is estimated that the annual output value in 2020 can reach 60 trillion yuan to 80 trillion yuan, accounting for 18 or 25 percent of GDP in the same period. On this basis, this paper analyzes the common problems and restrictive factors faced by the development of the new growth point of industry during the 13th Five-Year Plan period, and makes clear the development vision and goal of speeding up the cultivation of the new growth point of the industry and constructing the new power of economic growth. The focus of the policy planning should be to clarify the boundaries between the government and the market, to persist in the cultivation of new industrial growth points by market subjects, and to strengthen policy support at both ends of the supply and demand sides of new industrial growth points. Because the "industry" should draw the "road map of industry reform", it can create a system environment conducive to the emergence and change of the new growth point of industry.
【作者单位】： 国家发展和改革委员会产业经济与技术经济研究所;
【基金】：国家发展和改革委员会宏观经济研究院重点课题“‘十三五’培育产业新增长点对策研究”(编号:A2015041005)的成果
【分类号】：F121.3
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