人民币国际化进程中跨境贸易人民币结算研究

发布时间：2018-06-30 18:46

本文选题：人民币国际化 + 跨境贸易结算　；参考：《安徽大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：2008年美国次贷危机波及全球,最终掀起了一场全球金融风暴。以美元为主体的货币体系全线崩盘,暴露其内在缺陷。其中,世界贸易的主要交易货币如美元、欧元和日元的汇率都波动剧烈,给全球范围内的国际贸易资金流动与结算造成了巨大的汇率风险,导致多国经济的不稳定。为了降低汇率风险对各国经济的影响,要求国际货币体系改革的呼声日益高涨。现今,我国已是仅次于美国的世界第二大经济体,经济实力不断增强,对外贸易迅速发展。但是我国人民币的国际地位却与之并不相符。近年来,伴随着我国经济增长,人民币汇率也较为稳定。其他国家对人民币的持有需求在不断扩大,人民币在与周边国家的边境贸易交往中使用规模也在逐年增加。如此背景之下人民币国际化是必然趋势。 2009年7月1日,我国正式启动跨境贸易人民币结算试点。作为人民币国际化进程的第一步,尽管本质上还只是贸易的计价和结算,但其推动我国与其他国家的经贸发展的作用却不容忽视,也是人民币国际化最关键的一步。随之,当权政府也陆续出台一系列的相关政策来鼓励和促进跨境贸易人民币结算的发展。本文通过对国内外的研究进行了整理和归纳总结；并采用大量的数据和图表对研究内容进行定性和定量的分析；在理论分析的同时,又结合着实证分析,使本文的分析更加透彻,论据也更加有说服力。全文分为七个部分进行研究,以下是本文的主要内容概述：第一章是绪论部分,主要介绍了本文研究内容的相关理论和现实意义,并提出本文的研究方法、创新点以及研究难点。第二章是相关理论和观点综述。先是介绍了货币国际化的概念,基础理论,然后对货币国际化的理论条件以及度量指标进行了观点综述。然后介绍了人民币国际化相关理论和概念,并对人民币国际化的条件、必然性和路径等问题进行了分析及阐述。接着,对跨境贸易人民币结算进行了概述,并阐述了跨境贸易结算货币最优选择理论,奠定其理论基础。最后,阐述了离岸金融理论,及其相关概念。第三章介绍了人民币国际化进程中跨境人民币结算的历史背景。第四章主要是以2008年国际金融危机后我国正式开展跨境贸易人民币结算为研究起点。文中从结构和规模等方面分析了我国跨境贸易结算的现状,虽然跨境贸易人民币结算已进入快速发展轨道,但仍存在问题。第五章分析了跨境贸易人民币结算量的影响因素,以相关理论为依据,就我国贸易总额、通胀率、宏观经济发展速度和相关政策这几个方面进行了系统分析,并以此为基础,重点从理论层面揭示我国跨境贸易人民币结算发展的影响因素。通过构建模型,侧重从理论层面揭示影响我国跨境贸易人民币结算发展的因素,从实证角度探讨其与各影响因素的动态关系第六章基于文中对跨境贸易人民币结算的影响因素的分析,为了推进跨境贸易人民币结算的发展,提出相应的策略建议。第七章,经总结思考,对推进人民币国际化进程中的跨境贸易人民币结算的实施进行分析和总结,并展望前景。
[Abstract]:The United States subprime crisis hit the world in 2008, and finally set off a global financial storm. The dollar based monetary system collapsed and exposed its internal defects. Among them, the exchange rates of the main trading currencies of the world trade such as the dollar, the euro and the yen have fluctuated violently, which caused the flow and settlement of international trade funds in the world. The huge exchange rate risk leads to the instability of the multinational economy. In order to reduce the impact of the exchange rate risk on the economy of various countries, the call for the reform of the international monetary system is increasing.
Nowadays, China is the second largest economy in the world, which is second only to the United States. The economic strength is increasing and the foreign trade is developing rapidly. However, the international status of China's RMB is not consistent with it. In recent years, with the economic growth of our country, the RMB exchange rate is also more stable. The demand for the holding of RMB is expanding in other countries. The scale of the use of the currency in border trade with neighboring countries is increasing year by year. In this context, the internationalization of RMB is an inevitable trend.
In July 1, 2009, China officially launched the pilot of cross-border trade RMB settlement. As the first step in the process of internationalization of the RMB, although it is essentially only the valuation and settlement of trade, its role in promoting economic and trade development between China and other countries can not be ignored. It is also the most important step in the internationalization of the people's currency. A series of related policies have been introduced to encourage and promote the development of RMB settlement in cross-border trade.
This paper collate and sum up the research at home and abroad, and use a large number of data and charts to carry out qualitative and quantitative analysis of the research content. At the same time, the theoretical analysis, combined with empirical analysis, makes the analysis of this paper more thorough, and the argument is also more convincing.
The full text is divided into seven parts. The following are the main contents of this article:
The first chapter is the introduction, which mainly introduces the relevant theoretical and practical significance of this study, and puts forward the research methods, innovations and research difficulties.
The second chapter is a summary of relevant theories and views. First, it introduces the concept of currency internationalization, the basic theory, and then reviews the theoretical and measurement indexes of the currency internationalization, and then introduces the related theories and concepts of the internationalization of RMB, and carries out the conditions, inevitability and path of the internationalized RMB. Then, the paper summarizes the RMB settlement in cross-border trade, and expounds the theory of the optimal choice of currency in cross-border trade settlement, and establishes its theoretical basis. Finally, it expounds the theory of offshore finance and its related concepts.
The third chapter introduces the historical background of RMB settlement in the process of RMB internationalization.
The fourth chapter is the starting point of the formal development of cross-border trade RMB settlement in China after the 2008 international financial crisis. This paper analyzes the current situation of cross-border trade settlement in China from the aspects of structure and scale. Although RMB settlement in cross-border trade has entered a rapid development track, there are still problems.
The fifth chapter analyzes the influencing factors of RMB settlement in cross-border trade. Based on relevant theories, this paper makes a systematic analysis on China's total trade volume, inflation rate, the speed of macroeconomic development and related policies. On the basis of this, it focuses on revealing the factors affecting the development of RMB settlement in China's cross-border trade from the theoretical level. Through the construction of the model, the factors that affect the development of RMB settlement in China's cross-border trade are emphatically revealed from the theoretical level, and the dynamic relationship with the influencing factors is discussed from an empirical perspective.
The sixth chapter is based on the analysis of the influencing factors of RMB settlement in cross-border trade. In order to promote the development of RMB settlement in cross-border trade, the corresponding strategic suggestions are put forward.
The seventh chapter, after summing up, analyzes and summarizes the implementation of RMB settlement in cross-border RMB trade in the process of RMB internationalization, and looks forward to the future.
【学位授予单位】：安徽大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F832.6

【参考文献】