欧债危机对拉美经济的影响机制与拉美的政策措施及成效

发布时间：2018-06-30 22:09

本文选题：欧债危机 + 拉美经济　；参考：《拉丁美洲研究》2012年02期

【摘要】：在当前经济制度背景下,欧债危机主要通过贸易、投资和金融等机制影响拉美经济:欧盟需求不足可能使拉美国家的出口收益减少;欧盟信贷额度下降、股市波动、资本流动性减少,会减少对拉美国家的投资,导致拉美国家投资不足和金融市场不稳,对拉美国家的产业结构调整也会产生消极影响。面对危机,拉美国家的应对策略并非临时的或短期的政策,而是从长期应对危机的历史中汲取了经验和教训。拉美国家实行稳健的宏观经济政策和灵活的浮动汇率政策,通胀处于可控水平,银行监管适当,整体债务水平较低,加上较为充足的外汇储备和经济运行状况总体良好等因素,为拉美国家抵御欧债危机的冲击发挥了相当大的减缓作用。但是,欧债危机对拉美经济可能会存在长期效应。中国与拉美的贸易为拉美经济的发展提供了动力,但中拉关系中还存在很多不稳定因素。未来中拉之间的战略依存度将越来越高,经贸往来也将更加密切。
[Abstract]:In the context of the current economic system, the European debt crisis has mainly affected Latin American economies through such mechanisms as trade, investment and finance: insufficient EU demand may reduce Latin American countries' export earnings; EU credit lines will fall, and stock markets will fluctuate. Reduced capital liquidity will reduce investment in Latin American countries, lead to underinvestment and instability in financial markets, and have a negative impact on the industrial restructuring of Latin American countries. In the face of the crisis, Latin American countries' response strategy is not temporary or short-term policy, but from the long history of response to the crisis and lessons learned. Latin American countries have adopted sound macroeconomic policies and flexible floating exchange rate policies, with inflation at a controlled level, proper bank supervision, low overall debt levels, and more adequate foreign exchange reserves and overall sound economic performance. Latin American countries to resist the impact of the European debt crisis played a considerable role in mitigation. However, the European debt crisis is likely to have a long-term effect on Latin American economies. The trade between China and Latin America has provided the impetus for the development of Latin American economy, but there are many unstable factors in the relations between China and Latin America. In the future, the strategic dependence between China and Latin America will become higher and higher, and economic and trade exchanges will become closer and closer.
【作者单位】：中国经济社会系统分析研究会;东北亚金融合作研究中心;南开大学金融系;
【分类号】：F835;F173

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