市场化改革对中国储蓄率的影响研究

发布时间：2018-07-03 11:09

本文选题：市场化改革 + 对外开放　；参考：《金融研究》2012年06期

【摘要】：众多研究表明收入分配格局会影响国民储蓄率,由于部门边际储蓄倾向的不同,企业和政府部门相对于居民部门在总体分配格局中占比的上升会提高国民储蓄率,造成事实上的"国富民穷"。本文利用1978～2007年中国省际面板数据,研究了由市场化改革和对外开放政策所引发的中国国民收入分配格局的变化及其对中国国民储蓄率的影响。研究发现,在收入分配格局受制于巨大社会经济结构变迁的制度约束下,中国收入分配格局的变化能够很好的解释国民储蓄率的变化,而政府储蓄行为的变化对近期国民储蓄率上升具有重要的解释力。本文的估计结果对替代性宏观收入分配格局变量的选取、估计方法的选择及样本区间的选择都是稳健的,由市场化改革引致的宏观收入分配格局变化的储蓄效应非常显著。
[Abstract]:Many studies show that the income distribution pattern will affect the national savings rate. Due to the difference of the marginal saving tendency of the departments, the increase of the proportion of enterprises and government departments in the overall distribution pattern will increase the national savings rate. The fact is that the country is rich and the people are poor. Based on the data of China's provincial panel from 1978 to 2007, this paper studies the changes of China's national income distribution pattern caused by the market-oriented reform and the policy of opening to the outside world and its influence on China's national savings rate. It is found that the change of income distribution pattern in China can explain the change of national savings rate well under the system constraints of the huge social and economic structure changes. The change of government saving behavior has an important explanation for the recent rise of national savings rate. The results of this paper are robust to the selection of the variables of the alternative macro-income distribution pattern, the selection of the estimation method and the selection of the sample interval. The savings effect of the change of the macro-income distribution pattern caused by the market-oriented reform is very significant.
【作者单位】：南开大学经济学院;
【基金】：教育部重大攻关项目(09JZD0016)、教育部重点研究基地重大项目(2009JJD790027)和教育部人文社会科学青年项目(11YJC790171)的资助
【分类号】：F123.9;F832.22;F224

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