东盟在全球产品内分工的地位与跨国公司FDI

发布时间：2018-07-18 20:53

【摘要】：跨国公司FDI在全球的生产布局极大地促进了东盟国家产品内分工的发展。本文分析了东盟国家近年来FDI和中间产品贸易的现状,发现随着世界FDI流动的不断恢复,在产品内分工处于价值链中后端位置的东盟国家,虽然位置没有明显提升,但在引入FDI增加的同时其参与产品内国际分工的程度却在不断加深;在理论分析的基础上进一步提出跨国公司FDI与产品内分工的程度可能存在良性互动关系的假设,并建立数量模型对东盟五国十多年来FDI与中间产品贸易的数据进行进一步分析,发现长期内跨国公司FDI与中间产品贸易即产品内分工之间存在着双重的因果关系,而短期内只有中间产品进出口之间具有一定的联系,FDI与中间产品进出口没有必然的因果关系。
[Abstract]:The global production layout of FDI in the world has greatly promoted the development of intra product division of labor in ASEAN countries. This paper analyses the status of ASEAN countries' trade in FDI and intermediate products in recent years. It is found that with the continuous recovery of FDI flow in the world, ASEAN countries, which are in the back end of the value chain in the product division, have not been significantly raised. But at the same time, the degree of international division of labor within the product is deepened while introducing FDI. On the basis of theoretical analysis, the hypothesis of a benign interaction between the FDI and the degree of intra product division of the MNCs may be further proposed, and a quantitative model is set up for the data of the trade between the five ASEAN countries for the past more than 10 years and the trade in the intermediate products. In the further analysis, it is found that there is a double causality between FDI and the intra product division of labor in the long term, and there is only a certain relationship between the import and export of intermediate products in the short term, and there is no causal relationship between FDI and the import and export of intermediate products.
【作者单位】：厦门大学南洋研究院;
【基金】：教育部哲学社会科学发展报告资助项目《东南亚地区发展报告》(11JBCP029) 教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目《东盟国家产业结构研究》(11JJD810020)
【分类号】：F114.46;F831.6

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