美国的“赖账”之道——基于国际投资头寸视角的分析
发布时间：2018-07-29 07:01
【摘要】：金融危机爆发后,对美国通过美元贬值和通货膨胀等方式稀释其对外负债"赖账"的担忧就一直持续;近期债务上限谈判导致美国主权评级被下调并引发国际金融市场动荡,美国国债违约可能性更让中国持有的巨额外汇储备安全备受关注。该文从国际投资头寸视角出发,利用最新数据对进入本世纪以来、特别是金融危机发生以来美国的"赖账"经验进行分析表明,美国依靠金融霸权及其长期在对外直接投资和金融投资中建立起的强大综合实力,有效地减缓了对外净债务的上升,本世纪以来已经"赖账"高达4万多亿美元。基于国际投资头寸视角,本文认为未来美国仍会以缓和的方式实现赖账。
[Abstract]:In the wake of the financial crisis, concerns over the "repudiation" of the United States' foreign debt through the devaluation and inflation of the US dollar have been continued; the recent debt ceiling negotiations led to a downgrade of the US sovereign rating and the turmoil in the international financial market. Note. From the perspective of the international investment position, this paper makes use of the latest data to analyze the "repudiation" experience of the United States since the beginning of this century, especially since the financial crisis, and shows that the United States has effectively slowed the net external debt by relying on financial hegemony and its long-term strong comprehensive strength in foreign direct investment and financial investment. Business has risen to more than $4 billion since this century. Based on the perspective of international investment positions, this article believes that the United States will still be able to repudiate its debts in a relaxed way.
【作者单位】： 广东商学院金融学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目“金融危机下经济政策国际合作与冲突及中国的对策研究”(项目编号:10CGJ015);国家社会科学基金项目“金融危机后人民币汇率大国博弈及中国对策研究”(项目编号:11CGJ009)的阶段性成果 广东商学院国民经济研究中心“资本市场与投融资研究创新团队”项目的资助
【分类号】：F832.6
[Abstract]:In the wake of the financial crisis, concerns over the "repudiation" of the United States' foreign debt through the devaluation and inflation of the US dollar have been continued; the recent debt ceiling negotiations led to a downgrade of the US sovereign rating and the turmoil in the international financial market. Note. From the perspective of the international investment position, this paper makes use of the latest data to analyze the "repudiation" experience of the United States since the beginning of this century, especially since the financial crisis, and shows that the United States has effectively slowed the net external debt by relying on financial hegemony and its long-term strong comprehensive strength in foreign direct investment and financial investment. Business has risen to more than $4 billion since this century. Based on the perspective of international investment positions, this article believes that the United States will still be able to repudiate its debts in a relaxed way.
【作者单位】： 广东商学院金融学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目“金融危机下经济政策国际合作与冲突及中国的对策研究”(项目编号:10CGJ015);国家社会科学基金项目“金融危机后人民币汇率大国博弈及中国对策研究”(项目编号:11CGJ009)的阶段性成果 广东商学院国民经济研究中心“资本市场与投融资研究创新团队”项目的资助
【分类号】：F832.6
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