山东省农业吸引外商直接投资与农业经济增长的关系研究

发布时间：2018-10-09 19:12

【摘要】：上世纪80年代以来,全球化进程日益加快,国际直接投资逐渐取代了贸易成为了世界经济发展的新动力。我国作为世界上最大的发展中国家,吸引FDI的规模和金额也日益扩大,由改革开放初期的19.56亿美元增长到2012年末的1117.16亿美元,成为世界上第一大FDI吸引国。与此同时,我国的经济亦表现出强劲的增长态势。根据《中国统计年鉴》历年数据显示,自改革开放以来,我国GDP始终保持年均9.7%以上的高增长速度,即使在2007年全球性金融危机的背景下也迅速复苏,至2012年GDP总值已位居世界第二。然而,尽管我国经济发展迅速,产业结构发展不平衡的矛盾却日益突出,农业GDP仅占GDP总值十分之一左右的水平,发展速度也远低于二、三产业。农业虽然是鼓励利用外资最早的行业之一,直至1995年我国出台《外商投资产业指导目录》之后,农业FDI却才真正兴起,这与我国作为世界农业大国的背景严重不符。农业FDI引进的严重滞后性加剧了我国产业发展的不平衡,农业技术与发达国家相差甚远使得我国农业竞争力低下,农业经济发展缓慢。但《2009年世界投资报告》显示,2008年以来,各产业、行业吸引FDI的数量急剧下降,受到经济危机的冲击很大,而农业在此期间却成为黑马,似乎正在推动新一轮的外商直接投资热潮。 FDI对于非农产业的研究虽然结论不一,存在一定的争议性,但大多依然认为至少在一定时期内和一定条件下,FDI将为东道国带来充足的资本和先进的技术,促进东道国经济的发展。而农业作为现代经济的弱势产业,究竟能否获得FDI所带来的利益,即FDI到底能否促进农业经济的发展?农业FDI如何作用于东道国农业经济增长?在利用农业FDI的过程中东道国及其农业企业该如何保护自身的利益?这将是本文研究的问题。本文首先对以往的相关理论和研究进行了归纳和总结,奠定了本文的理论基础。之后,对农业FDI作用于农业经济的机制进行了深入探讨和研究,并对投资过程中的东道国以及内资企业的利益获取和博弈过程进行了分析,以期帮助东道国及内资企业抓住“优先决策优势”,实现东道国利用农业FDI的最大利益。在上文基础上,本文以资本新品种增加模型为基础,对山东省农业利用FDI与经济增长的关系进行实证检验,并通过对比全国以及农业大省的农业FDI数据,分析山东省农业利用FDI过程中的优、劣势。最后,综合本文的理论和实证分析,从企业和政府两个层面给出了相关建议。
[Abstract]:Since 1980s, the process of globalization has been speeding up day by day, and international direct investment has gradually replaced trade as a new driving force for the development of world economy. China, as the largest developing country in the world, has become the largest attracting country of FDI in the world, increasing from 1.956 billion dollars at the beginning of reform and opening up to 111.716 billion dollars at the end of 2012. At the same time, our economy also shows a strong growth trend. According to the data of the Statistical Yearbook of China, since the reform and opening up, China's GDP has always maintained a high growth rate of more than 9.7% per year, and recovered rapidly even under the background of the global financial crisis in 2007. By 2012, the total value of GDP has ranked second in the world. However, despite the rapid economic development in China, the contradiction of unbalanced industrial structure development has become increasingly prominent. Agricultural GDP accounts for only about 1/10 of the total value of GDP, and the speed of development is far lower than that of the secondary and tertiary industries. Although agriculture is one of the earliest industries to encourage the utilization of foreign capital, agricultural FDI did not really rise until 1995, when China issued the "Industry guidance catalogue for Foreign Investment", which is seriously inconsistent with the background of our country as a big agricultural country in the world. The serious lag in the introduction of agricultural FDI exacerbates the imbalance of industrial development in China. Agricultural technology is far from that of developed countries, which leads to the low competitiveness of agriculture and the slow development of agricultural economy. But the 2009 World Investment report shows that since 2008, the number of industries and industries that have attracted FDI has fallen sharply, hit hard by the economic crisis, and that agriculture has become a dark horse during that period. It'seems to be driving a new wave of foreign direct investment. Although the conclusions of FDI research on non-agricultural industries are different and controversial, most of them still believe that FDI will bring sufficient capital and advanced technology to the host country in at least a certain period of time and under certain conditions. Promoting the economic development of the host country. As a weak industry of modern economy, can agriculture gain the benefits brought by FDI, that is, whether FDI can promote the development of agricultural economy? How does Agricultural FDI affect Agricultural Economic growth in Host countries? In the process of utilizing agricultural FDI, how should the host country and its agricultural enterprises protect their own interests? This will be the problem studied in this paper. In this paper, the previous related theories and studies are summarized and summarized, which lays the theoretical foundation of this paper. After that, the mechanism of agricultural FDI acting on agricultural economy is deeply discussed and studied, and the benefit acquisition and game process of host country and domestic enterprises in the process of investment are analyzed. The aim is to help the host country and the domestic enterprises to seize the "priority decision-making advantage" and realize the best benefit of the host country in utilizing agricultural FDI. On the basis of the above, based on the capital new variety increase model, this paper makes an empirical test on the relationship between agricultural utilization FDI and economic growth in Shandong Province, and compares the agricultural FDI data of the whole country and the big agricultural provinces. This paper analyzes the advantages and disadvantages in the process of agricultural utilization of FDI in Shandong Province. Finally, based on the theoretical and empirical analysis of this paper, the relevant suggestions are given from the two levels of enterprise and government.
【学位授予单位】：山东大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F327;F832.6

【参考文献】