人民币国际化发展机遇与风险分析
发布时间：2018-10-15 08:11
【摘要】：在美国次贷危机爆发和欧洲债务危机恶化的背景下，为了复苏经济，美欧均实行了极度宽松的货币政策，导致作为国际货币的美元、欧元纷纷贬值。这使得包括中国在内的众多国家的外汇资产遭受了较大损失。此后，世界各国对货币多元化的呼声越来越高，这给了人民币向国际货币发展提供了机遇。 本文先通过对人民币在对外贸易结算中的份额以及国际货币市场中的地位进行分析，讨论人民币目前国际化的程度。 然后，文章引用大量数据，分别从外部环境中的发展机遇和内部环境中的发展状况两方面讨论人民币国际化当前的形势和未来的机会。 随后，本文结合人民币国际化的现状和未来，对人民币国际化的过程中的风险进行了分析。分析分为宏观和微观两个层面。首先对宏观层面的特里芬难题、三元悖论、宏观调控政策、汇率、以及资本流动等方面的风险进行了讨论，，提出了相应的对策。然后在微观层面对人民币国际化对我国涉外企业带来的风险进行了研究。文章把该部分风险分为交易风险、会计风险、经营风险三类，以数据、案例等形式进行分析，并为企业提出应对风险的方法和建议。
[Abstract]:Against the background of the outbreak of the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States and the deterioration of the European debt crisis, in order to revive the economy, the United States and Europe implemented extremely loose monetary policies, which led to the depreciation of the euro as an international currency. This causes the foreign exchange assets of many countries, including China, to suffer great losses. Since then, more and more calls for currency diversification have given the RMB an opportunity to develop the international currency. This paper analyzes the share of RMB in foreign trade settlement and the status of international money market, and discusses the degree of RMB internationalization. Then, the paper uses a lot of data to discuss the current situation and the future opportunity of RMB internationalization from two aspects: the development opportunity in the external environment and the development situation in the internal environment. Then, this paper analyzes the risks in the process of RMB internationalization in the light of the current situation and future of RMB internationalization. The analysis is divided into macro-level and micro-level. At first, the paper discusses the risks of Triffin problem, ternary paradox, macro-control policy, exchange rate and capital flow, and puts forward the corresponding countermeasures. Then, the risk of RMB internationalization to foreign enterprises is studied at micro level. This paper divides this part of risk into three types: transaction risk, accounting risk and management risk, and analyzes the risk by data and case, and puts forward the methods and suggestions to deal with the risk for the enterprise.
【学位授予单位】：首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F832.6
本文编号：2271912
[Abstract]:Against the background of the outbreak of the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States and the deterioration of the European debt crisis, in order to revive the economy, the United States and Europe implemented extremely loose monetary policies, which led to the depreciation of the euro as an international currency. This causes the foreign exchange assets of many countries, including China, to suffer great losses. Since then, more and more calls for currency diversification have given the RMB an opportunity to develop the international currency. This paper analyzes the share of RMB in foreign trade settlement and the status of international money market, and discusses the degree of RMB internationalization. Then, the paper uses a lot of data to discuss the current situation and the future opportunity of RMB internationalization from two aspects: the development opportunity in the external environment and the development situation in the internal environment. Then, this paper analyzes the risks in the process of RMB internationalization in the light of the current situation and future of RMB internationalization. The analysis is divided into macro-level and micro-level. At first, the paper discusses the risks of Triffin problem, ternary paradox, macro-control policy, exchange rate and capital flow, and puts forward the corresponding countermeasures. Then, the risk of RMB internationalization to foreign enterprises is studied at micro level. This paper divides this part of risk into three types: transaction risk, accounting risk and management risk, and analyzes the risk by data and case, and puts forward the methods and suggestions to deal with the risk for the enterprise.
【学位授予单位】：首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F832.6
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本文编号：2271912
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