中越贸易结算中的人民币认同度问题研究

发布时间：2018-10-15 14:49

【摘要】：美国次贷危机的爆发暴露了当前以美元为核心的国际货币体系所存在的弊端和潜在风险,国际上普遍呼吁增强其他非美元货币的货币职能,使国际货币体系向多元化发展,从而降低过度依赖美元的风险。改革开放以来,人民币的国际影响力不断提升,人民币国际化战略从理论探讨转入战略实施阶段,跨境贸易人民币结算试点稳步推进。而推进人民币国际化,首先要解决的基础性问题是如何提高境外主体对人民币的认同度。越南与中国山水相连,有史以来双边经贸往来密切,选取越南作为考察对象,系统研究中越贸易结算中的人民币认同度问题,对提升人民币在越南、泰国等东盟国家的认同度都将有很好的参考价值。文章前两个部分在总结、梳理国内外研究成果的基础上,对经济实力、金融市场发展程度、币值稳定性等影响货币认同度的主要因素进行理论分析,进而根据理论分析结果,采用因子分析模型对比分析了美元、欧元、日元、英镑、瑞士法郎和人民币的国际认同度状况。第三部分,从宏观层面对中越跨境贸易中人民币的结算状况进行分析,进而基于越南企业和民众对人民币认同度的问卷调查,采用描述性统计分析和层次分析法测度了越南微观主体对人民币的认同度状况。结合两个层面的分析,总结得出越南主体对人民币的认同度较低的结论。最后,针对认同度分析结果,剖析可能导致该结果的原因,并结合国际货币实践经验考察,探讨提升人民币认同度的对策建议。
[Abstract]:The outbreak of the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States has exposed the disadvantages and potential risks of the current international monetary system with the US dollar as the core. The international community has generally called for strengthening the monetary functions of other non-US dollar currencies in order to diversify the international monetary system. Thus reducing the risk of excessive reliance on the dollar. Since the reform and opening up, the international influence of RMB has been continuously enhanced, the internationalization strategy of RMB has been transferred from theoretical discussion to strategic implementation stage, and the RMB settlement pilot of cross-border trade has been steadily promoted. In order to promote the internationalization of RMB, the first basic problem is how to improve the recognition of RMB. Vietnam and China are connected by mountains and rivers, and bilateral economic and trade exchanges have been close throughout history. Choosing Vietnam as the object of investigation, this paper systematically studies the issue of RMB identity in Sino-Vietnamese trade settlement, in order to promote the renminbi in Vietnam. Thailand and other ASEAN countries will have a good degree of identity and reference value. In the first two parts of the article, on the basis of summing up and combing the domestic and foreign research results, the paper makes a theoretical analysis of the main factors affecting the degree of currency identity, such as economic strength, the degree of development of financial market, and the stability of currency value, and then according to the theoretical analysis results, A factor analysis model was used to compare the international recognition of the dollar, euro, yen, sterling, Swiss franc and renminbi. The third part analyzes the settlement status of RMB in the cross-border trade between China and Vietnam at the macro level, and then based on the questionnaire survey on the RMB identity of Vietnamese enterprises and people. Descriptive statistical analysis and analytic hierarchy process (AHP) were used to measure the degree of recognition of RMB among micro subjects in Vietnam. Combined with the analysis of two levels, the conclusion that the Vietnamese main body's recognition of RMB is low. Finally, according to the result of identification degree analysis, this paper analyzes the reasons that may lead to this result, and probes into the countermeasures and suggestions to enhance the RMB identity degree in combination with the practical experience of international currency.
【学位授予单位】：广西大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F832.6;F833.33

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