人民币升值对出口企业研发活动的影响——异质企业双寡头博弈分析
发布时间：2018-11-09 17:55
【摘要】：人民币升值对我国出口企业的研发活动影响如何,对此问题进行探讨可以为在汇率制度改革背景下促进我国经济转型升级提供启示。本文借鉴新新贸易理论的研究,对出口企业按照生产效率不同区分为高效率企业和低效率企业;构建了包含研发和产量竞争的双寡头博弈模型,以分析在竞争关系中人民币升值对出口企业均衡研发策略的影响。结果表明,在高效率企业具有较大成本优势的情况下,本币升值会促使低效率企业退出研发活动,维持或者增强高效率企业开展研发活动的积极性,从而有利于在长期内提升出口行业的竞争力。使用上市公司数据进行的实证分析能够较好地支持上述结论。由此建议:在升值背景下,应当鼓励低效率企业尽早转移生产基地或者退出海外市场,为高效率出口企业生存发展提供空间;发展完善金融体系、提高投融资效率,在缓解短期冲击的同时引导不同出口企业根据自身情况转型、升级,才能够为现阶段的经济稳定和未来经济的健康发展提供支持。
[Abstract]:The impact of RMB appreciation on the R & D activities of export enterprises in China is discussed, which can provide enlightenment for promoting the economic transformation and upgrading under the background of exchange rate system reform. Based on the research of new and new trade theory, the export enterprises are divided into high efficiency enterprises and low efficiency enterprises according to the different production efficiency. This paper constructs a duopoly game model including R & D and production competition to analyze the impact of RMB appreciation on the equilibrium R & D strategy of export enterprises. The results show that the appreciation of the local currency will promote the inefficient enterprises to withdraw from R & D activities and maintain or enhance the enthusiasm of the efficient enterprises to carry out R & D activities when the high efficiency enterprises have a large cost advantage. This will help to improve the competitiveness of the export industry in the long-term. The empirical analysis using the listed company data can support the above conclusion. Under the background of appreciation, inefficient enterprises should be encouraged to transfer their production bases or withdraw from overseas markets as soon as possible, so as to provide space for the survival and development of highly efficient export enterprises. Only by developing and perfecting the financial system, improving the efficiency of investment and financing, and guiding different export enterprises to transform and upgrade according to their own conditions, can they provide support for the current economic stability and the healthy development of the future economy.
【作者单位】： 南京大学商学院;
【基金】：2010年度国家社会科学基金重大招标项目“基于自主创新能力增进的产学研合作创新研究”(10zd020)子课题研究成果
【分类号】：F832.6;F752.62;F273.1;F224.32
[Abstract]:The impact of RMB appreciation on the R & D activities of export enterprises in China is discussed, which can provide enlightenment for promoting the economic transformation and upgrading under the background of exchange rate system reform. Based on the research of new and new trade theory, the export enterprises are divided into high efficiency enterprises and low efficiency enterprises according to the different production efficiency. This paper constructs a duopoly game model including R & D and production competition to analyze the impact of RMB appreciation on the equilibrium R & D strategy of export enterprises. The results show that the appreciation of the local currency will promote the inefficient enterprises to withdraw from R & D activities and maintain or enhance the enthusiasm of the efficient enterprises to carry out R & D activities when the high efficiency enterprises have a large cost advantage. This will help to improve the competitiveness of the export industry in the long-term. The empirical analysis using the listed company data can support the above conclusion. Under the background of appreciation, inefficient enterprises should be encouraged to transfer their production bases or withdraw from overseas markets as soon as possible, so as to provide space for the survival and development of highly efficient export enterprises. Only by developing and perfecting the financial system, improving the efficiency of investment and financing, and guiding different export enterprises to transform and upgrade according to their own conditions, can they provide support for the current economic stability and the healthy development of the future economy.
【作者单位】： 南京大学商学院;
【基金】：2010年度国家社会科学基金重大招标项目“基于自主创新能力增进的产学研合作创新研究”(10zd020)子课题研究成果
【分类号】：F832.6;F752.62;F273.1;F224.32
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