农业投入品价格、人民币汇率波动对我国园艺产品比较优势的影响

发布时间：2018-12-16 16:48

【摘要】：自上世纪90年代以来,农业投入品价格和人民币汇率变动对我国园艺产品的比较优势产生一定影响。本文以甜橙为例,采用1990～2009年时序数据,通过构建农业投入品价格和人民币汇率与甜橙DRCC和NSP因果关系的线性回归模型,动态考察了农业投入品价格上涨和人民币汇率下降对甜橙比较优势的影响。研究结果表明:当期农业投入品价格上涨对甜橙的比较优势产生一定的正面影响,但前一期农业投入品价格上涨对甜橙比较优势产生一定的负面影响;当期人民币汇率下降对甜橙比较优势产生一定的负面影响,前一期人民币汇率下降对甜橙比较优势产生一定的正面影响,进而提出了相应的对策与建议。
[Abstract]:Since the 1990s, the price of agricultural inputs and the exchange rate of RMB have influenced the comparative advantage of horticultural products in China. Taking sweet orange as an example, using the time series data from 1990 to 2009, a linear regression model of DRCC and NSP causality relationship between agricultural input price and RMB exchange rate was constructed. The effects of rising agricultural inputs and falling RMB exchange rate on the comparative advantage of sweet orange were investigated dynamically. The results showed that the price increase of current agricultural inputs had a positive effect on the comparative advantage of sweet orange, but the increase of price of agricultural input in the previous period had a certain negative effect on the comparative advantage of sweet orange. The decline of RMB exchange rate in the current period has a certain negative effect on the comparative advantage of sweet orange, and the decline of RMB exchange rate in the previous period has a certain positive effect on the comparative advantage of sweet orange, and the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward.
【作者单位】：华中农业大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：国家现代农业(柑橘)产业技术体系(MATS)专项经费(CARS-07-07B) 2011年度教育部博士点基金项目(20110146110008) 湖北省高等学校优秀中青年科技创新团队计划项目“农产品流通体系及问题研究”(T200813) 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(52902-0900201042)的资助
【分类号】：F832.6;F326.13;F224

【共引文献】