基于元回归分析的外商直接投资对中国生产率溢出效应的实证研究

发布时间：2019-03-09 20:34

【摘要】：本文在分析外商直接投资(FDI)实证研究文献中有关生产率溢出争论的基础上,运用元回归分析对FDI溢出效应的31篇论文进行实证研究,考察研究者的研究设计、数据特性、溢出方式、时间因素、技术差距、行业属性、劳动力质量及RD等因素对溢出效应的影响。研究表明,FDI代理变量的形式对结果有显著影响,采用FDI产出值的样本比FDI水平值的溢出效应高,而采用面板数据、行业数据以及RD和垂直关联研究设计等均得出更高的溢出效应;服务业较制造业FDI有更显著的正溢出效应;FDI的资本与劳动效应不显著。研究还表明,技术差距过大并不利于FDI的吸收与消化;时间均值变量参数为负,表明近十年我国的FDI溢出效益呈下降趋势;模型设定错误可能是引起国内FDI溢出效应结果不同的原因之一。
[Abstract]:On the basis of analyzing the disputes about productivity spillover in (FDI) empirical research literature, this paper makes an empirical study of 31 papers on FDI spillover effect by meta-regression analysis, and investigates the research design and data characteristics of the researchers. Spillover patterns, time factors, technology gap, industry attributes, labor quality and RD impact on spillover effects. The results show that the form of FDI proxy variable has a significant impact on the results. The sample with FDI output value has higher spillover effect than the FDI horizontal value, while the panel data is used. Industry data as well as RD and vertical correlation research design can get higher spillover effects. The service industry has more significant positive spillover effect than manufacturing FDI, while the capital and labor effect of FDI is not significant. The research also shows that the excessive technology gap is not conducive to the absorption and digestion of FDI, and the time mean variable parameter is negative, indicating that the spillover benefit of FDI in China has a downward trend in the last ten years. The model setting error may be one of the reasons for the different results of FDI spillover effect in China.
【作者单位】：武汉理工大学管理学院;武汉理工大学图书馆;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目“基于大规模定制的服务业顾客保留理论及实证研究”(项目编号:70772075) 2011年度教育部人文社会科学研究项目“FDI与服务业生产率增长的实证研究”(项目编号:11YJA790219) 2012年度教育部人文社会科学研究项目“我国现代服务业政策绩效评价及发展政策研究”(项目编号:12YJA790155)的阶段性成果
【分类号】：F224;F832.6

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