金融规模、金融调控与经济增长——基于中国改革开放以来的实证研究
发布时间：2019-05-06 17:20
【摘要】：首先将金融发展分为金融规模与金融调控两个部分,然后利用聚类分析、向量自回归模型、格兰杰因果检验、状态空间模型全面系统地研究了金融发展与经济增长之间的关系。结果表明,不同研究方法的结论可以互相补充、互相支撑。金融发展与经济增长之间互为因果关系。中国的金融—经济系统在1993、1994年左右存在结构变化,在结构转变过程中,金融对经济的调控是平稳的。金融规模对经济增长具有促进作用,金融调控手段在调节经济的同时,对经济增长也有微弱的促进作用。金融调控对经济增长的作用无论是正向还是反向,都是对经济增长的贡献。
[Abstract]:Firstly, financial development is divided into two parts: financial scale and financial regulation. Then the relationship between financial development and economic growth is studied comprehensively and systematically by means of cluster analysis, vector autoregressive model, Granger causality test and state space model. The results show that the conclusions of different research methods can complement each other and support each other. There is a causal relationship between financial development and economic growth. There are structural changes in China's financial-economic system in 1993 and 1994. In the course of structural transformation, financial regulation and control to the economy is stable. Financial scale plays an important role in promoting economic growth. Financial regulation means not only regulate the economy, but also have a weak promoting effect on economic growth. The effect of financial regulation on economic growth, whether positive or negative, is a contribution to economic growth.
【作者单位】： 宁波大学商学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金项目“民间资本主持中小企业发展路径与对策”(10BJY105) 宁波大学区域经济与社会发展研究院重点课题“金融发展促进科技创新的机制、模式与对策研究”(QYJYS1106);宁波大学2011年学科项目“中国金融发展与经济增长关系的变参数研究”(XKW11002)
【分类号】：F832;F124;F224
[Abstract]:Firstly, financial development is divided into two parts: financial scale and financial regulation. Then the relationship between financial development and economic growth is studied comprehensively and systematically by means of cluster analysis, vector autoregressive model, Granger causality test and state space model. The results show that the conclusions of different research methods can complement each other and support each other. There is a causal relationship between financial development and economic growth. There are structural changes in China's financial-economic system in 1993 and 1994. In the course of structural transformation, financial regulation and control to the economy is stable. Financial scale plays an important role in promoting economic growth. Financial regulation means not only regulate the economy, but also have a weak promoting effect on economic growth. The effect of financial regulation on economic growth, whether positive or negative, is a contribution to economic growth.
【作者单位】： 宁波大学商学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金项目“民间资本主持中小企业发展路径与对策”(10BJY105) 宁波大学区域经济与社会发展研究院重点课题“金融发展促进科技创新的机制、模式与对策研究”(QYJYS1106);宁波大学2011年学科项目“中国金融发展与经济增长关系的变参数研究”(XKW11002)
【分类号】：F832;F124;F224
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