FDI、农业技术进步与农村剩余劳动力转移——基于“合力模型”的理论与实证研究

发布时间：2019-07-10 08:56

【摘要】：用FDI产业梯度转移和农业技术进步实现城乡统筹发展,已是当前加快中国经济发展方式转变的必然要求。系统构建了包含FDI、农业技术进步和农村剩余劳动力转移在内的"合力模型"的理论分析框架,采用1996-2009年中国28个省级单位的面板数据进行实证检验。全国层面的研究表明,FDI形成的"拉力"和农业技术进步形成的"推力"对农村剩余劳动力转移均有显著的正向影响。分地区层面的研究表明,东部地区FDI对农村剩余劳动力转移的"拉力"要远远高于中西部地区,但农业技术进步对农村剩余劳动力转移的"推力"要明显低于中西部地区。城乡收入差距对中西部地区农村剩余劳动力转移具有显著的正向影响,但对东部地区农村剩余劳动力转移具有显著的负向影响。
文内图片：

图片说明：－2009年FDI投资额、农业技术水平和第一产业就业比重的变化趋势图
[Abstract]:The development of urban and rural integrated development with the gradient transfer of the FDI industry and the progress of the agricultural technology has been an inevitable requirement to accelerate the transformation of China's economic development mode. The systematic construction of the theoretical analysis framework of the "resultant force model", including FDI, agricultural technology progress and the transfer of the rural surplus labor, adopts the panel data of 28 provincial units in China from 1996 to 2009 to carry out the empirical test. The research of the national level shows that the "thrust" of the formation of FDI and the "pulling force" of agricultural technological progress have a significant positive impact on the transfer of rural surplus labor. The research of the sub-regional level shows that the "pulling force" of the transfer of the rural surplus labor force in the eastern region is far higher than that in the central and western regions, but the "thrust" of the agricultural technology progress to the rural surplus labor transfer is obviously lower than that of the central and western regions. The income gap between urban and rural areas has a significant positive impact on the transfer of rural surplus labor in the central and western regions, but has a significant negative effect on the transfer of rural surplus labor in the eastern region.
【作者单位】：湖南大学经济与贸易学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目(10BJL040) 国家自然科学基金屒助项目(70879039) 教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划项目(NCET-09-0337)
【分类号】：F832.6;F323.3;F323.6;F224

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