新型城镇化背景下山西省流通产业发展研究

发布时间：2018-01-01 00:13

本文关键词：新型城镇化背景下山西省流通产业发展研究　出处：《山西财经大学》2016年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：近年来,山西省流通产业的经营规模不断扩大,产值持续增加,引导工业和农业的先导作用越来越大。流通产业产值占第三产业的比重连续十年保持20%的速度增长,流通产业已经成为第三产业中最重要的部门,并在经济发展中扮演着越来越重要的角色。然而,山西省流通产业的发展存在诸多问题,如基础设施不完善、流通体制不够健全、信息化程度低和流通成本偏高等。在山西省着力推进新型城镇化建设的背景下,流通产业有了更广阔的发展空间。因此,在新型城镇化背景下发展流通产业,对于扭转山西省的产业结构转型困境、促进经济发展具有重要意义。本文的创新之处主要是研究方法的创新,体现在运用计量经济学和系统动力学相结合的方法进行实证研究。现有文章对城镇化背景下流通产业的发展大都只进行因果检验及关联性分析,本文提出在进行均衡关系分析之后需要构建动力系统来进一步分析,以便于下文对策措施的提出更具有针对性和实际意义。本文的研究线索是首先从相关理论分析进而到现状分析,然后进行实证分析,接下来进行问题分析,最后根据分析结果提出相应的对策。本文主要采用理论分析和实证分析的研究方法。首先从理论分析着手。分别总结新型城镇化和流通产业内涵及相关理论,并对新型城镇化与流通产业的互动关系做了理论分析,确定两者在理论上存在相互影响的关系。进而进行现状分析。借鉴曹飞(2014)提出的复合型城镇化指标体系,以及城镇化评价指标的变动趋势评价方法,通过人口、经济、空间和社会生活四方面共19个指标,对山西省城镇化进行现状分析,得出以下两个结论。第一,山西省的新型城镇化处于刚刚起步的阶段;第二,山西省不同地市之间城镇化水平相差很大。通过搜集整理数据,从基本状况、规模、经营状况三方面对山西省流通产业进行现状分析,得出如下结论。第一,山西省流通产业具有一定的产业发展基础;第二,流通产业增长动力不足,其规模效应没有完全体现出来。然后进行实证分析。采取计量经济学与系统动力学相结合的分析方法,分析了山西省城镇化与流通产业之间关系的存在性以及互动性。重点研究两方面内容:一是新型城镇化与流通产业之间是否存在长期关系;二是新型城镇化与流通产业在哪些方面的互动性最强。接下来进行问题分析。主要根据实证分析的结论确定新型城镇化背景下流通产业存在的以下三大问题。分别是基础设施不够完善;产业布局不合理;信息化水平低。最后根据分析结果提出相应的五大对策。主要包括,第一,完善流通产业基础设施;第二,发挥政府的导向作用;第三,优化流通产业空间布局;第四,扩大城乡消费;第五,实施“互联网+流通产业”战略。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the business scale of circulation industry in Shanxi Province has been expanding, and the output value has been increasing continuously. The leading role of guiding industry and agriculture is more and more great. The proportion of the output value of circulation industry to the tertiary industry has been increasing at the rate of 20% for ten consecutive years, and the circulation industry has become the most important sector in the tertiary industry. And plays an increasingly important role in economic development. However, there are many problems in the development of circulation industry in Shanxi Province, such as imperfect infrastructure and inadequate circulation system. The information level is low and the circulation cost is on the high side. Under the background of promoting the new urbanization construction in Shanxi Province, the circulation industry has a broader development space. Therefore, the development of circulation industry in the new urbanization background. It is of great significance to reverse the predicament of industrial structure transformation and promote economic development in Shanxi Province. The innovation of this paper is mainly the innovation of research methods. Embodied in the use of econometrics and system dynamics combined with empirical research. The existing articles on the development of circulation industry under the background of urbanization are mostly conducted causality test and correlation analysis. In this paper, after the analysis of equilibrium relationship, we need to build a dynamic system for further analysis. In order to facilitate the following countermeasures put forward more targeted and practical significance. The research clue of this paper is first from the relevant theoretical analysis to the current situation analysis, then empirical analysis, and then the problem analysis. Finally, according to the results of the analysis of the corresponding countermeasures. This paper mainly uses theoretical analysis and empirical analysis of research methods. First, from the theoretical analysis of the new urbanization and circulation industry connotation and related theories. The interaction between new urbanization and circulation industry is analyzed theoretically. To determine the relationship between the two in theory, and then to analyze the current situation, using Cao Feijiao 2014) proposed by the composite urbanization index system, as well as the trend of urbanization evaluation index evaluation method. Based on 19 indexes of population, economy, space and social life, this paper analyzes the present situation of urbanization in Shanxi Province, and draws the following two conclusions: first, the new urbanization in Shanxi Province is just in its infancy; Second, the level of urbanization between different cities in Shanxi Province is very different. Through collecting and collating data, this paper analyzes the current situation of circulation industry in Shanxi Province from three aspects: basic status, scale and management status. The conclusions are as follows: first, the circulation industry of Shanxi Province has a certain industrial development foundation; Second, the circulation industry growth power is insufficient, its scale effect is not fully reflected out. Then the empirical analysis. Econometrics and system dynamics combined with the analysis method. This paper analyzes the existence and interactivity of the relationship between urbanization and circulation industry in Shanxi Province, focusing on two aspects: first, whether there is a long-term relationship between new urbanization and circulation industry; Secondly, which aspects of new-type urbanization and circulation industry are most interactive. Then the problem analysis is carried out. According to the conclusion of empirical analysis, the following three major problems of circulation industry under the background of new-type urbanization are determined. Not enough infrastructure; Unreasonable industrial layout; The level of informatization is low. Finally, according to the results of the analysis, five countermeasures are put forward. The main contents are as follows: first, improve the infrastructure of circulation industry; Second, give play to the guiding role of the government; Third, optimize the spatial layout of circulation industry; 4th, expand urban and rural consumption; In 5th, the implementation of the "Internet circulation industry" strategy.
【学位授予单位】：山西财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F724

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