出口多元化对博茨瓦纳经济增长的影响
发布时间：2021-03-01 13:13
博茨瓦纳作为一个发展中国家为实现经济多样化做出了一些努力。博茨瓦纳采用了诸多经济多元化驱动（EDD）、2016年愿景、2036年愿景、NDP 10和NDP 11等发展政策和战略,以使其实现经济多样化,不再依赖初级商品。该国已签署了若干双边和多边自由贸易协定,以优惠其商品和服务的市场准入,其重点是消除贸易壁垒,以便于在博茨瓦纳与其贸易国家之间进行货物运输。鉴于此,本文研究出口多样化对博茨瓦纳经济增长的影响,并选择出口多样化、外商直接投资、人口、制造业和一般政府净消费等五个自变量,选取1995-2017年的时间序列数据进行分析,选取实际人均国内生产总值（GDP）作为代表来确定这两个概念之间的关系。为了获得出口多样化对经济增长影响的一致和有效估计,本文使用了普通最小二乘法（OLS）,实证结果与该模型相吻合。在索洛增长模型中,实际人均GDP增长与出口多样化之间的相互作用非常显著,并为解释博茨瓦纳增长率的变化做出了重要贡献,实证模型表明,出口多样化以外的变量也在解释博茨瓦纳的经济增长方面发挥作用。外商直接投资不显著,但与出口增长和出口多样化呈正相关关系,这说明一个经济体的多元化程度越高,就越有可...
【文章来源】：江西财经大学江西省
【文章页数】：68 页
【学位级别】：硕士
【文章目录】：
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
ABSTRACT
摘要
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
1 INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background of the Study
1.2 Literature Review
1.3 Objectives of the study
1.4 Significance of Study
1.5 Contribution and Limitations of Study
1.6 Structure of the Thesis
2 OVERVIEW OF BOTSWANA’S ECONOMY
2.1 Botswana?s Economic Development Status
2.2 Botswana?s Export Structure
2.3 Botswana?s imports& export trading countries（regions）
2.4 Botswana?s Trade Policy
2.5 Botswana?s Trade Regime
2.6 Botswana?s Current Development strategies and Policies
3 BASIC GROWTH THEORIES AND ITS APPLICATION IN BOTSWANA
3.1 Theoretical Framework
3.1.1 Classical Theories
3.1.2 Neoclassical Growth Theories
3.2 Theoretical Analysis of Export Diversification on Botswana's Economic Growth
4 EMPIRICAL STUDY ON THE EFFECTS OF EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN BOTSWANA
4.1 Data and Description
4.2 Description of Variables
4.3 Model Specification and Estimation
4.4 Data analysis
4.5 OLS model specification
4.6 Diagnostic tests
4.7 Results and Discussion
5 CASE STUDIES OF RESOURCE RICH COUNTRIES ON EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH
Introduction
5.1 The Case study of Chile
5.2 Case Study of Mauritius
5.3 Case study of UAE
5.4 Experiences and Lessons for Botswana
6 CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
6.1 Conclusion
6.2 Policy Recommendations
REFERENCES
本文编号：3057530
【文章来源】：江西财经大学江西省
【文章页数】：68 页
【学位级别】：硕士
【文章目录】：
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
ABSTRACT
摘要
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
1 INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background of the Study
1.2 Literature Review
1.3 Objectives of the study
1.4 Significance of Study
1.5 Contribution and Limitations of Study
1.6 Structure of the Thesis
2 OVERVIEW OF BOTSWANA’S ECONOMY
2.1 Botswana?s Economic Development Status
2.2 Botswana?s Export Structure
2.3 Botswana?s imports& export trading countries（regions）
2.4 Botswana?s Trade Policy
2.5 Botswana?s Trade Regime
2.6 Botswana?s Current Development strategies and Policies
3 BASIC GROWTH THEORIES AND ITS APPLICATION IN BOTSWANA
3.1 Theoretical Framework
3.1.1 Classical Theories
3.1.2 Neoclassical Growth Theories
3.2 Theoretical Analysis of Export Diversification on Botswana's Economic Growth
4 EMPIRICAL STUDY ON THE EFFECTS OF EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN BOTSWANA
4.1 Data and Description
4.2 Description of Variables
4.3 Model Specification and Estimation
4.4 Data analysis
4.5 OLS model specification
4.6 Diagnostic tests
4.7 Results and Discussion
5 CASE STUDIES OF RESOURCE RICH COUNTRIES ON EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH
Introduction
5.1 The Case study of Chile
5.2 Case Study of Mauritius
5.3 Case study of UAE
5.4 Experiences and Lessons for Botswana
6 CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
6.1 Conclusion
6.2 Policy Recommendations
REFERENCES
本文编号：3057530
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