FDI输入对肯尼亚1980-2017出口增长的影响

发布时间：2021-06-08 10:33

　　许多作者和研究人员研究并分析了外国直接投资（FDI）对东道国出口业绩的影响。其中许多人得出的结论是,对内外国直接投资具有积极的影响,并且在促进东道国出口增长方面具有统计显著性。本篇论文的主要目的是调查对内外国直接投资是否对肯尼亚的出口业绩产生重大影响。通过使用普遍最小二乘法（OLS）,分析1980-2017年的年度次要时间序列数据,我们调查到关键宏观经济变量（出口,外国直接投资,国内生产总值,国内储蓄,贸易开放,汇率,通货膨胀,工业增加值和固定资本形成总额）的作用。计量分析结果表明,外国直接投资在统计上对肯尼亚的出口业绩没有显著的影响,相反,其系数变量还具有负面影响。因此,结果表明:在肯尼亚,外国直接投资对该国的出口增长产生负面但并不显著的影响。这个结果非常有趣,因为在以前的研究中,FDI通常被视为出口的引擎。就肯尼亚的这种情况而言,可能是由于许多外国直接投资主要是面向建筑,电信,金融和保险部门。而肯尼亚的主要出口产品却是农产品（茶叶,咖啡,鲜花和其他园艺产品）,该部门的外国直接投资存量和负债似乎很少。在研究期间,我们发现流入肯尼亚的外国直接投资可能不适合出口部门。 

【文章来源】：江西财经大学江西省

【文章页数】：63 页

【学位级别】：硕士

【文章目录】：
DEDICATION
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
ABSTRACT
摘要
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
CHAPTER ONE
    1.1 Background of the study
    1.2 Statement of the Problem and justification of the study
    1.3 Objectives of the Study
    1.4 Research Questions
    1.5 Contribution and Significance of the Study
    1.6 Structure of the Thesis
    1.7 Limitations of the study
CHAPTER TWOA REVIEW OF EMPIRICAL AND THEORETICAL LITERATURE
    2.1 Empirical Literature
    2.2 Export-Platform FDI
    2.3 Theoretical Considerations
        2.3.1 Flying Geese(FG)Model
        2.3.2 Product Life cycle(PLC)Theory
        2.3.3 New Growth Theory
    2.4 Summary
CHAPTER THREEAN ANALYSIS OF FDI AND EXPORT PERFORMANCE IN KENYA
    3.1 Kenya:An Overview
        3.1.1 Political Environment
        3.1.2 Economic Environment
    3.2 International Trade in Kenya
    3.3 FDI Trend in Kenya-A Historical Background
    3.4 Types of FDI in Kenya
        3.4.1 Market seeking FDI
        3.4.2 Efficiency seeking FDI
        3.4.3 Resource seeking FDI
    3.5 Sources of FDI in Kenya
    3.6 Export of Goods and Services by FDI
        3.6.1 Exports of Goods by Foreign enterprises
        3.6.2 Export of Services by Foreign Enterprises
    3.7 FDI as a percentage of GDP
    3.8 Kenya FDI by Sectors
    3.9 Main Impediments to FDI in Kenya
    3.10 Policies to attract FDI in Kenya
CHAPTER FOURRESEARCH METHODOLY,FINDINGS& INTERPRETATION OF RESULTS
    4.1 Research Design
    4.2 Hypothesis
    4.3 Data Sources and Techniques
    4.4 Model Specification
    4.5 Definition of Variables
        4.5.1 Dependent Variable:Exports
        4.5.2 Foreign Direct Investment
        4.5.3 GDP growth rate
        4.5.4 Industry Value Added
        4.5.5 Gross Fixed Capital Formation
        4.5.6 Inflation
        4.5.7 Gross Domestic Savings
        4.5.8 Trade Openness
        4.5.9 Real Exchange Rate
    4.6 Results and Findings
        4.6.1 Diagnostic Tests
        4.6.2 Regression Results and Interpretation
CHAPTER FIVESUMMARY,CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
    5.1 Summary and Conclusion
    5.2 Policy Implications and Recommendations
    5.3 Areas for Further Research
REFERENCES
APPENDICES



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