人口因素对居民储蓄率的影响研究

发布时间：2018-01-13 19:32

本文关键词：人口因素对居民储蓄率的影响研究　出处：《经济经纬》2017年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：使用全国省域面板数据,以人口因素为切入点,分析了人口因素对储蓄率的具体影响。研究结果表明:人口增长率与储蓄率呈反向关系,中国人口增长率的下降与储蓄率的上升具有客观联系。中国经济增长过程中,人口年龄结构、城镇化等因素也对储蓄率有着显著影响。人口因素对储蓄率的影响有显著的区域差异和时间差异,东部地区人口因素对储蓄率的影响高于中西部地区。因此,制定政策时应该统筹考虑各方面因素的具体特点,从而形成合理的国民储蓄率,最终达到最优资源配置。
[Abstract]:By using the national provincial panel data and taking population factors as the starting point, this paper analyzes the specific impact of population factors on the savings rate. The results show that the population growth rate and the savings rate are inversely related. There is an objective relationship between the decline in population growth and the rise in the savings rate. In the process of economic growth, the age structure of the population in China. Urbanization and other factors also have a significant impact on the savings rate. There are significant regional and temporal differences in the impact of population factors on the savings rate, and the impact of population factors on the savings rate in the eastern region is higher than that in the central and western regions. The specific characteristics of various factors should be considered as a whole when making policy so as to form a reasonable national savings rate and finally reach the optimal allocation of resources.
【作者单位】：济南大学商学院;山东管理学院经贸学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目(15BGL145)
【分类号】：C924.2;F832.22
【正文快照】： 一、文献综述在宏观变量中,人口与储蓄率、人均实际GDP之间存在显著的相关性。董丽霞等(2011)检验了抚养比、储蓄率和人均实际GDP之间的关系,认为少儿和老人抚养比与储蓄率成负相关关系。沈坤荣等(2012)检验了不确定性收入对城镇居民储蓄率的影响,认为不确定性收入与城镇

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