产业结构对经济货币化率的影响——基于区域异质性视角

发布时间：2018-01-14 05:07

本文关键词：产业结构对经济货币化率的影响——基于区域异质性视角　出处：《南方金融》2017年05期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：本文运用我国内地31个省(市、区)的面板数据,研究地区产业结构对区域高货币化现象的影响,为我国高经济货币化率研究提供一个新的视角,同时也为区域产业结构调整提供新的思路。结果表明,我国内地各省(市、区)的非农产业增加值占GDP比重对区域经济高货币化现象存在显著的正向影响;第二产业增加值占GDP比重对经济高货币化现象存在显著的正向影响;第三产业增加值占GDP比重对经济高货币化现象存在显著的负向影响。为此,要转变以货币超发刺激经济增长、带动产业转型升级的传统思路,更多地依靠经济自身的活力和潜力来推进产业结构调整升级;国内各省(市、区)在制定产业升级扶持政策时要掌握好非农产业占比上升的速度,避免出现过度推高各地区经济货币化率、进而整个国家经济货币化率上升过快的结果;以发展第三产业为着力点,促进不同地区经济货币化率平稳下降,降低宏观金融运行的风险。
[Abstract]:This paper uses the panel data of 31 provinces (cities and districts) in China to study the influence of regional industrial structure on the phenomenon of regional high monetization, which provides a new perspective for the study of high economic monetization rate in China. At the same time, it also provides a new way of thinking for the adjustment of regional industrial structure. The results show that the proportion of non-agricultural industry added to GDP in the inland provinces (cities and districts) has a significant positive impact on the phenomenon of high monetization of regional economy. The ratio of added value of secondary industry to GDP has a significant positive effect on the phenomenon of high economic monetization. The proportion of added value of tertiary industry to GDP has a significant negative impact on the phenomenon of high economic monetization. Therefore, the traditional idea of stimulating economic growth with monetary overshoot and promoting industrial transformation and upgrading should be changed. More rely on the vitality and potential of the economy itself to promote the industrial structure adjustment and upgrading; The domestic provinces (cities and autonomous regions) should grasp the increasing speed of non-agricultural industries in order to avoid excessive pushing up the economic monetization rate in various regions when formulating the industrial upgrading support policy. Then the whole country economy monetization rate rises too fast result; Focusing on the development of tertiary industry, we can promote the steady decline of economic monetization rate in different regions and reduce the risk of macro financial operation.
【作者单位】：广发银行博士后科研工作站;暨南大学应用经济学博士后流动站;暨南大学经济学院;
【分类号】：F822.2
【正文快照】： 一、引言与文献评述对于我国货币发行,一直存在“货币超发说”,即政府当局通过超发货币来维持经济的快速增长。2008年国际金融危机发生后,推出4万亿元人民币投资计划,同时在2009和2010年保持每年10万亿元左右的天量信贷投放。随着2010年以后房价、物价的节节攀升,特别是2015年

【相似文献】