图格里克汇率变动对蒙古国对外贸易的影响

发布时间：2018-03-03 09:17

  本文选题：图格里克汇率　切入点：蒙古国对外贸易　出处：《内蒙古社会科学(汉文版)》2017年04期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：考虑蒙古国出口商品结构单一,进口商品具有不完全替代的特点,构建进口和出口需求模型,采用蒙古国2000~2016年季度数据为样本,分析并检验了蒙古国图格里克的汇率变动对进口贸易、出口贸易和贸易收支的影响。结果表明:图格里克汇率的变动能够影响蒙古国的进出口贸易,图格里克的贬值能够促进出口、抑制进口;马歇尔—勒纳条件在蒙古能够得到验证,但图格里克的贬值对贸易收支的影响是非线性的。
[Abstract]:Considering the single structure of Mongolian export commodities and the incomplete substitution of imported commodities, the model of import and export demand is constructed, and the quarterly data of Mongolia from 2000 to 2016 are taken as samples. This paper analyzes and tests the influence of the exchange rate change of Mongolia on the import trade, export trade and trade balance. The results show that the change of the exchange rate of Tugrik can affect the import and export trade of Mongolia. The devaluation of Tugrik can promote exports and restrain imports; the Marshall-Lerner condition can be verified in Mongolia, but the impact of Tuglick's depreciation on trade balance is nonlinear.
【作者单位】： 大连工业大学管理学院;蒙古国财经大学经济学院;
【基金】：中国博士后科学基金资助项目“制度环境对我国金融包容发展的影响”(编号:2014M560199)
【分类号】：F753.11;F831.6
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本文编号：1560424