金融发展与经济增长的时空耦合度测度——以长三角城市群为例

发布时间：2018-04-01 17:04

本文选题：金融发展　切入点：经济增长　出处：《城市问题》2017年03期

【摘要】：基于2000-2014年长三角城市群的面板数据,运用时空耦合模型对金融发展与经济增长二者间的协调发展态势进行了实证研究。结果表明,该区金融发展与经济增长指数均保持着较快的增长态势,且金融危机以来金融发展指数增幅进一步扩大,而经济增长指数增幅则有所减弱。时空耦合分析显示,该区所有市域的耦合值均已进入协调发展的状态,但耦合增幅放缓,存在"核心—外围"的空间分布格局,且各市际间尚未显现耦合趋同;同时,考察期内二者空间重心偏离度增大,在一定程度上阻碍了耦合度的提升,应当警惕金融要素脱离实体经济,以避免促进经济的金融化与投机化,形成泡沫与系统性风险。
[Abstract]:Based on the panel data of Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration from 2000 to 2014, this paper makes an empirical study on the coordinated development situation between financial development and economic growth by using spatio-temporal coupling model. The results show that, Both the financial development and the economic growth index in the region have maintained a relatively rapid growth trend, and the growth rate of the financial development index has further expanded since the financial crisis, while the growth rate of the economic growth index has weakened. The coupling value of all the cities in this area has entered the state of coordinated development, but the coupling growth rate has slowed down, there is a spatial distribution pattern of "core and periphery", and the coupling convergence has not been shown among different cities; at the same time, In the period of investigation, the deviation degree of the spatial center of gravity increases, which to a certain extent hinders the promotion of coupling degree. We should guard against the financial elements leaving the real economy, so as to avoid promoting the financialization and speculation of the economy and forming the bubble and systemic risk.
【作者单位】：中国人民大学经济学院;青岛大学经济学院;
【基金】：中国人民大学科学研究基金(16XNH052)——金融结构演进、系统性风险与宏观审慎监管体系优化
【分类号】：F832.7;F127

【相似文献】