短期国际资本异常流动控制分析——基于中国的实证

发布时间：2018-04-02 17:45

本文选题：洗钱　切入点：资本流动　出处：《系统工程理论与实践》2016年05期

【摘要】：本文从合理渠道与非法隐形渠道角度提出了计算中国短期资本流动量的方法;借鉴水库模型,将资本流动划分为五种测度区间,并提出了相应测度区间控制短期资本流量与流速的思路;在研究了短期资本流入对经济影响有时间滞后性的基础上,本文建立了经济周期不同节点与短期资本流入的匹配关系以及控制短期资本流动的组合思想与方式.最后,在分析与统计中国数据的基础上,预测了目标年度中国短期资本流动水平与异常情况,提出了控制中国短期资本异常流动的建议.
[Abstract]:This paper puts forward a method to calculate the short-term capital flow in China from the angle of reasonable channel and illegal hidden channel, and divides the capital flow into five measuring intervals by using the reservoir model for reference.At the same time, the paper puts forward the idea of controlling the short-term capital flow and velocity by the corresponding measure interval, and on the basis of studying the time lag of the short-term capital inflow to the economy,In this paper, the matching relationship between different nodes of business cycle and short-term capital inflow is established, as well as the combination of ideas and ways to control short-term capital flows.Finally, based on the analysis and statistics of China's data, the paper forecasts the level and abnormal situation of China's short-term capital flows in the target year, and puts forward some suggestions for controlling the abnormal short-term capital flows in China.
【作者单位】：山西师范大学经济与管理学院;山西师范大学数学与计算机科学学院;Department
【基金】：国家自然科学基金(71273159)~~
【分类号】：F832.6

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